
Volume
$297K
Txns
2,102
Traders
409
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure, between September 22 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Iranian missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible may also be used.
Trades
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$28.7Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 57%$27Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 97%$4.32Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$20.7Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | Rastox | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Trumputin | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +255.00 | $0.26 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Yes / 0.1¢ | +320.00 | $0.32 | |
| 1y | carp | No / 99.9¢ | +627.00 | $626 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +52.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | WigglyWaffles | No / 99.9¢ | +6,005.00 | $6K | |
| 1y | isaac13 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,410.48 | $2.82 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | No / 99.8¢ | +2,010.48 | $2.01K | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.2¢ | +555.00 | $1.11 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 99.8¢ | +555.00 | $554 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | majtaj2111 | No / 99.8¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | rafito3 | No / 99.8¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | hangi256 | No / 99.8¢ | +6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.01 | $0.01 |
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