
Volume
$2M
Txns
22,066
Traders
2,810
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 89%$62.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 95%$35.4Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 100%$14.4Mvolume
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$4.43Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 73%$24.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Yes 100%$3.46Mvolume
1–25