Volume
$56K
Txns
364
Traders
140
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$2,534
Ends
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 66%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 77%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 51%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | longdated-poli | Yes / 3.1¢ | -1.80 | $0.06 | |
| 1d | PPMT | Yes / 3.1¢ | +1.80 | $0.06 | |
| 1d | 0x5449...46992b | No / 96.9¢ | +1.14 | $1.1 | |
| 1d | PPMT | Yes / 3.1¢ | +1.14 | $0.04 | |
| 1d | PPMT | Yes / 3.1¢ | +1.03 | $0.03 | |
| 1d | 0xcb67590aB77ACBD592714986fB6Fd1149ca5CB63-1783087498031 | No / 96.9¢ | +1.03 | $1 | |
| 1d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 4.1¢ | +51.00 | $2.09 | |
| 1d | Noble-Factory | No / 95.9¢ | +81.00 | $77.6 | |
| 1d | PPMT | No / 95.8¢ | -30.00 | $28.7 | |
| 1d | longdated-poli | Yes / 3.5¢ | +1.04 | $0.04 | |
| 1d | 0x64b2120337F24f46bEC3A36ddA3254F902de55de-1783087454876 | No / 96.5¢ | +1.04 | $1 | |
| 1d | 0x6992D56559Dd30b5B5D0F5cA3D5427F9e94e6c1d-1760272837095 | Yes / 5.6¢ | -79.58 | $4.49 | |
| 1d | rocky42023 | No / 94.4¢ | -11.59 | $10.9 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | No / 94.4¢ | -52.99 | $50 | |
| 1d | zhifouzhifou | No / 94.2¢ | -15.00 | $14.1 | |
| 1d | Talophex | No / 94.0¢ | +29.05 | $27.3 | |
| 1d | PPMT | No / 94.1¢ | +25.30 | $23.8 | |
| 1d | Hermnann | Yes / 5.9¢ | +84.25 | $5 | |
| 1d | PPMT | Yes / 5.9¢ | -29.90 | $1.76 | |
| 2d | 0x1e7565263d17Bbf133E4aB9d8423Ec695FDd63F1-1776023416348 | Yes / 6.7¢ | -44.25 | $2.96 | |
| 2d | hard | Yes / 5.9¢ | -20.00 | $1.18 | |
| 2d | Ultimus1 | Yes / 6.3¢ | +79.25 | $5 | |
| 2d | zhifouzhifou | No / 94.3¢ | +15.00 | $14.1 | |
| 2d | ChatfieldA | Yes / 5.6¢ | -10.00 | $0.56 | |
| 2d | Whitehollow | No / 94.4¢ | -10.00 | $9.44 |
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