
Volume
$737
Txns
43
Traders
21
Fees
$6
Liquidity
$1,909
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.15Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 82%$59.8Kvolume
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$636Kvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 82%$52.1Kvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 53%$745Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | meow-123 | No / 31.0¢ | +10.23 | $3.26 | |
| 3h | dropmeplease | No / 31.0¢ | -10.23 | $3.17 | |
| 3h | Olcan | No / 30.0¢ | +40.00 | $12 | |
| 3h | 0x2d91...3cf592 | No / 29.2¢ | -40.00 | $11.7 | |
| 12h | 56sdfdsfs | No / 31.0¢ | -7.90 | $2.45 | |
| 12h | 0xDb3c6ee33836E7CBeE7b700BF5c49Ee350188E0b-1779569817758 | Yes / 68.1¢ | -14.28 | $9.73 | |
| 12h | dropmeplease | No / 31.0¢ | -6.38 | $1.98 | |
| 1d | TooYoungToWin | Yes / 70.0¢ | +7.19 | $5.09 | |
| 1d | Olcan | No / 30.0¢ | +7.19 | $2.16 | |
| 1d | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 31.0¢ | +41.00 | $12.7 | |
| 1d | shoobadooba18 | No / 30.1¢ | -41.00 | $12.4 | |
| 1d | ultralisk | No / 31.0¢ | +50.00 | $15.5 | |
| 1d | 56sdfdsfs | No / 31.0¢ | +8.10 | $2.51 | |
| 1d | shoobadooba18 | No / 31.0¢ | +41.90 | $13 | |
| 1d | 0x43E0F1fC0FF7724Cf70959F8b5Ae476c006e1caF-1751843510927 | Yes / 69.0¢ | +100.00 | $69.9 | |
| 2d | dropmeplease | No / 30.0¢ | +5.71 | $1.71 | |
| 2d | Olcan | No / 30.0¢ | +8.58 | $2.57 | |
| 2d | mp333 | Yes / 70.0¢ | +14.29 | $10.1 | |
| 2d | dropmeplease | No / 30.0¢ | +14.29 | $4.29 | |
| 2d | 0xDb3c6ee33836E7CBeE7b700BF5c49Ee350188E0b-1779569817758 | Yes / 70.0¢ | +14.29 | $10.1 | |
| 2d | keybo | Yes / 69.0¢ | +16.61 | $11.5 | |
| 2d | molodoyy | Yes / 70.6¢ | -130.00 | $91.7 | |
| 2d | J25525 | No / 28.0¢ | -86.83 | $24.3 | |
| 2d | silverstud | Yes / 72.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.6 | |
| 2d | meow-123 | Yes / 68.1¢ | -16.61 | $11.3 |
1–25