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![]() Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? NoTech 435.22 shares | 36.1¢ / 28.0¢ | $227 (38.3%) | $586 · 28 | $698 · 7 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:10 PM | |
Will Meta say "Silicon" during earnings call? YesMentions 10.00 shares | 99.0¢ / 99.0¢ | -$0 (-0.0%) | $9.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:10 PM | |
Will Meta say "Advertising" during earnings call? YesMentions 352.59 shares | 84.8¢ / 99.0¢ | $50 (16.7%) | $299 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:10 PM | |
![]() Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? NoTech 395.39 shares | 53.7¢ / 70.5¢ | $94.5 (24.6%) | $382 · 12 | $200 · 9 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:06 PM | |
Will Meta say "Reality Lab" during earnings call? YesMentions 50.30 shares | 76.4¢ / 0.0¢ | -$38.4 (-100.0%) | $38.2 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:57 PM | |
![]() US strike on Cuba by December 31? NoPolitics 19.47 shares | 72.0¢ / 69.0¢ | $13.4 (8.5%) | $158 · 2 | $158 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:56 PM | |
Will Meta say "Cloud" during earnings call? YesMentions 10.00 shares | 99.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0.09 (0.9%) | $9.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:54 PM | |
![]() Trump out as President before 2027? NoPolitics 400.00 shares | 85.8¢ / 91.1¢ | $15.8 (1.9%) | $816 · 8 | $468 · 3 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:53 PM | |
Will Meta say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call? YesMentions 71.92 shares | 99.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$71.2 (-100.0%) | $71.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:45 PM | |
![]() Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? NoPolitics 205.81 shares | 86.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $38.4 (7.7%) | $498 · 15 | $352 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:43 PM | |
![]() Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 3,700.01 shares | 66.8¢ / 80.0¢ | $558 (18.8%) | $2.96K · 69 | $559 · 7 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:43 PM | |
![]() Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? NoPolitics 199.99 shares | 79.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $24 (15.2%) | $158 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:39 PM | |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31? NoPolitics 326.07 shares | 74.1¢ / 86.0¢ | $42.4 (13.9%) | $304 · 10 | $56.8 · 7 | $10.8 | Jul 29, 2026 8:36 PM | |
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s L… NoTech 367.57 shares | 65.2¢ / 69.2¢ | $20.6 (5.5%) | $373 · 11 | $144 · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:31 PM | |
![]() Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? YesPolitics 2.06 shares | 54.2¢ / 33.1¢ | -$0.13 (-3.0%) | $4.28 · 2 | $3.61 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:22 PM | |
89.9¢ / 88.0¢ | -$1.14 (-2.1%) | $53.9 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:14 PM | ||
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity… NoTech 1,405.11 shares | 52.4¢ / 38.0¢ | -$121 (-13.8%) | $870 · 15 | $226 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:07 PM | |
Will "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcas… NoMentions 91.38 shares | 62.6¢ / 69.2¢ | $10.7 (11.2%) | $93.6 · 3 | $43 · 3 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:06 PM | |
![]() Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? NoPolitics 299.06 shares | 58.8¢ / 79.0¢ | $221 (21.3%) | $1.03K · 44 | $1.02K · 15 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:05 PM | |
Will Microsoft say "Excel" during earnings call? YesMentions 159.09 shares | 74.4¢ / 66.0¢ | -$6.83 (-4.6%) | $147 · 6 | $36.2 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:54 PM | |
Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcas… NoMentions 204.99 shares | 69.7¢ / 86.0¢ | $33.5 (23.5%) | $141 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:43 PM | |
Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 733.11 shares | 38.3¢ / 13.0¢ | -$186 (-66.1%) | $281 · 18 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:35 PM | |
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% o… NoTech 343.86 shares | 78.6¢ / 79.4¢ | $2.74 (1.0%) | $268 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:33 PM | |
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by July 31? YesPolitics 34.11 shares | 60.2¢ / 3.0¢ | -$19.5 (-95.0%) | $20.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:29 PM | |
Will Trump say "Design" or "Designed" during Announcement with the Secre… YesMentions 10.94 shares | 99.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$10.8 (-100.0%) | $10.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:22 PM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
39.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.42K (25.7%) | $9.22K · 186 | $413 · 22 | $11.4K | Jul 1, 2026 6:10 AM | ||
41.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.39K (23.2%) | $10.1K · 196 | $1.31K · 70 | $11.4K | Jul 1, 2026 6:10 AM | ||
2.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.2K (1392.3%) | $86.2 · 23 | $1.29K · 10 | $0 | Mar 10, 2026 7:17 PM | ||
54.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.09K (50.8%) | $2.14K · 84 | $1.59K · 37 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:16 AM | ||
![]() Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? WonYesPolitics | 48.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.03K (12.1%) | $8.48K · 537 | $7.18K · 246 | $2.33K | Jul 4, 2026 1:09 PM | |
9.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $974 (390.9%) | $249 · 120 | $91.8 · 9 | $1.13K | Apr 15, 2026 2:10 PM | ||
39.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $973 (103.1%) | $917 · 16 | $322 · 3 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 2:04 AM | ||
58.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $842 (72.0%) | $1.17K · 27 | $0 | $0 | Feb 6, 2026 5:12 AM | ||
39.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $762 (55.9%) | $1.36K · 37 | $2.13K · 24 | $0 | Jan 25, 2026 8:35 PM | ||
11.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $731 (671.2%) | $107 · 8 | $18.3 · 3 | $0 | Jul 19, 2026 12:45 AM | ||
27.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $720 (32.8%) | $2.2K · 56 | $2.92K · 73 | $0 | Jan 31, 2026 9:22 PM | ||
![]() Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? WonNoCulture | 66.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $627 (37.0%) | $1.68K · 61 | $1.66K · 44 | $17.7 | Jul 1, 2026 8:45 PM | |
![]() Grok 4.20 released by January 31? WonNoTech | 24.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $626 (91.4%) | $685 · 28 | $1.31K · 32 | $0 | Feb 1, 2026 12:12 PM | |
55.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $593 (27.6%) | $2.15K · 36 | $2.74K · 42 | $0 | Feb 1, 2026 7:56 AM | ||
85.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $568 (14.2%) | $4K · 36 | $2.75K · 6 | $0 | Dec 21, 2025 10:04 PM | ||
![]() Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7? WonNoPolitics | 35.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $566 (132.9%) | $417 · 8 | $992 · 14 | $0 | Jul 8, 2026 6:10 AM | |
15.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $557 (298.0%) | $180 · 9 | $745 · 15 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:05 AM | ||
42.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $513 (58.3%) | $880 · 30 | $1.39K · 17 | $0 | Jan 25, 2026 8:37 PM | ||
60.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $492 (22.1%) | $2.23K · 17 | $2.72K · 31 | $0 | Nov 11, 2025 8:17 AM | ||
41.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $472 (24.3%) | $1.94K · 54 | $2.41K · 49 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 7:55 AM | ||
![]() Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%? WonNoCulture | 69.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $471 (17.6%) | $2.68K · 42 | $3.15K · 18 | $0 | Apr 3, 2026 11:19 PM | |
28.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $441 (35.4%) | $1.25K · 24 | $1.69K · 4 | $0 | Nov 9, 2025 8:07 PM | ||
![]() GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026? WonNoTech | 51.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $411 (41.5%) | $972 · 27 | $1.4K · 24 | $0 | Jun 9, 2026 6:09 AM | |
19.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $408 (154.0%) | $265 · 71 | $60.5 · 8 | $612 | Apr 15, 2026 2:41 PM | ||
24.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $405 (48.3%) | $800 · 70 | $724 · 54 | $519 | Jul 1, 2026 10:40 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
4001
Won
3063
Lost
804
Win Rate
79.2%
Profit Factor
1.82x
Avg Win
$24.3
Avg Loss
-$50.9
Total Wins
$74.5K
Total Losses
-$40.9K
Avg. Hold Time
Worst Loss
-$1.74K
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
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Rewards
Yield