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Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference? YesMentions 57.54 shares | 77.0¢ / 63.0¢ | -$1.66 (-0.6%) | $265 · 4 | $231 · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:35 PM | |
![]() Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? NoPolitics 700.00 shares | 83.3¢ / 94.0¢ | $228 (7.2%) | $3.16K · 32 | $2.74K · 12 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:35 PM | |
Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 631.81 shares | 42.2¢ / 30.0¢ | -$77.2 (-28.9%) | $267 · 16 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:29 PM | |
![]() Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? YesPolitics 2.06 shares | 54.2¢ / 35.1¢ | -$0.09 (-2.0%) | $4.28 · 2 | $3.61 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:29 PM | |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity… NoTech 1,405.11 shares | 52.4¢ / 38.6¢ | -$113 (-12.8%) | $870 · 15 | $226 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:23 PM | |
11.4¢ / 19.1¢ | $49.9 (49.6%) | $95.1 · 7 | $132 · 4 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:21 PM | ||
![]() Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? YesPolitics 93.73 shares | 2.4¢ / 0.6¢ | $3.71 (51.9%) | $0 | $10.3 · 4 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:10 PM | |
![]() US strike on Cuba by December 31? NoPolitics 19.47 shares | 72.0¢ / 69.0¢ | $13.4 (8.5%) | $158 · 2 | $158 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:07 PM | |
![]() Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? NoTech 435.22 shares | 36.1¢ / 30.0¢ | $235 (39.7%) | $586 · 28 | $698 · 7 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:05 PM | |
![]() Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 3.00 shares | 50.0¢ / 82.0¢ | $0.96 (64.0%) | $1.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:52 PM | |
![]() Trump out as President before 2027? NoPolitics 400.00 shares | 85.8¢ / 93.0¢ | $23.5 (2.9%) | $816 · 8 | $468 · 3 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:44 PM | |
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s L… YesTech 35.00 shares | 77.9¢ / 88.0¢ | $64 (12.3%) | $515 · 7 | $552 · 13 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:43 PM | |
![]() Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? NoPolitics 1,808.01 shares | 79.6¢ / 82.4¢ | $238 (5.6%) | $4.28K · 49 | $3.03K · 17 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:24 PM | |
86.9¢ / 88.6¢ | $7.39 (6.2%) | $120 · 3 | $74.7 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:16 PM | ||
Will Amazon say "AWS" 20+ times during earnings call? YesMentions 20.00 shares | 85.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$17 (-100.0%) | $17 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:15 PM | |
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% o… NoTech 658.94 shares | 67.5¢ / 64.0¢ | -$23.3 (-5.2%) | $441 · 12 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:11 PM | |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity… NoTech 366.00 shares | 76.1¢ / 56.0¢ | -$73.4 (-26.4%) | $278 · 9 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:11 PM | |
Will Procter & Gamble say "Trump" during earnings call? NoMentions 14.00 shares | 78.9¢ / 99.0¢ | $3.07 (19.5%) | $15.6 · 1 | $4.98 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:00 PM | |
![]() Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? NoPolitics 199.99 shares | 79.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $24 (15.2%) | $158 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:57 PM | |
![]() Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? NoPolitics 2,122.90 shares | 60.9¢ / 17.8¢ | -$782 (-48.6%) | $1.61K · 47 | $451 · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:48 PM | |
![]() Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? NoTech 5.40 shares | 83.3¢ / 92.0¢ | $28.1 (6.5%) | $429 · 6 | $455 · 17 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:45 PM | |
![]() Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? NoTech 395.39 shares | 53.7¢ / 60.3¢ | $54 (14.0%) | $382 · 12 | $200 · 9 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:28 PM | |
87.0¢ / 83.0¢ | -$0.7 (-4.6%) | $15.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:09 PM | ||
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam… NoTech 152.00 shares | 57.1¢ / 39.0¢ | -$13.7 (-7.0%) | $192 · 4 | $122 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:03 PM | |
![]() Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? NoTech 3.81 shares | 66.2¢ / 87.0¢ | -$16.5 (-22.5%) | $72.6 · 4 | $0 | $53.6 | Jul 29, 2026 12:43 PM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
39.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.42K (25.7%) | $9.22K · 186 | $413 · 22 | $11.4K | Jul 1, 2026 6:10 AM | ||
41.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.39K (23.2%) | $10.1K · 196 | $1.31K · 70 | $11.4K | Jul 1, 2026 6:10 AM | ||
2.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.2K (1392.3%) | $86.2 · 23 | $1.29K · 10 | $0 | Mar 10, 2026 7:17 PM | ||
54.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.09K (50.8%) | $2.14K · 84 | $1.59K · 37 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:16 AM | ||
![]() Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? WonYesPolitics | 48.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.03K (12.1%) | $8.48K · 537 | $7.18K · 246 | $2.33K | Jul 4, 2026 1:09 PM | |
9.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $974 (390.9%) | $249 · 120 | $91.8 · 9 | $1.13K | Apr 15, 2026 2:10 PM | ||
39.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $973 (103.1%) | $917 · 16 | $322 · 3 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 2:04 AM | ||
58.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $842 (72.0%) | $1.17K · 27 | $0 | $0 | Feb 6, 2026 5:12 AM | ||
39.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $762 (55.9%) | $1.36K · 37 | $2.13K · 24 | $0 | Jan 25, 2026 8:35 PM | ||
11.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $731 (671.2%) | $107 · 8 | $18.3 · 3 | $0 | Jul 19, 2026 12:45 AM | ||
27.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $720 (32.8%) | $2.2K · 56 | $2.92K · 73 | $0 | Jan 31, 2026 9:22 PM | ||
![]() Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? WonNoCulture | 66.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $627 (37.0%) | $1.68K · 61 | $1.66K · 44 | $17.7 | Jul 1, 2026 8:45 PM | |
![]() Grok 4.20 released by January 31? WonNoTech | 24.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $626 (91.4%) | $685 · 28 | $1.31K · 32 | $0 | Feb 1, 2026 12:12 PM | |
55.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $593 (27.6%) | $2.15K · 36 | $2.74K · 42 | $0 | Feb 1, 2026 7:56 AM | ||
85.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $568 (14.2%) | $4K · 36 | $2.75K · 6 | $0 | Dec 21, 2025 10:04 PM | ||
![]() Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7? WonNoPolitics | 35.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $566 (132.9%) | $417 · 8 | $992 · 14 | $0 | Jul 8, 2026 6:10 AM | |
15.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $557 (298.0%) | $180 · 9 | $745 · 15 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:05 AM | ||
42.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $513 (58.3%) | $880 · 30 | $1.39K · 17 | $0 | Jan 25, 2026 8:37 PM | ||
60.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $492 (22.1%) | $2.23K · 17 | $2.72K · 31 | $0 | Nov 11, 2025 8:17 AM | ||
41.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $472 (24.3%) | $1.94K · 54 | $2.41K · 49 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 7:55 AM | ||
![]() Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%? WonNoCulture | 69.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $471 (17.6%) | $2.68K · 42 | $3.15K · 18 | $0 | Apr 3, 2026 11:19 PM | |
28.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $441 (35.4%) | $1.25K · 24 | $1.69K · 4 | $0 | Nov 9, 2025 8:07 PM | ||
![]() GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026? WonNoTech | 51.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $411 (41.5%) | $972 · 27 | $1.4K · 24 | $0 | Jun 9, 2026 6:09 AM | |
19.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $408 (154.0%) | $265 · 71 | $60.5 · 8 | $612 | Apr 15, 2026 2:41 PM | ||
24.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $405 (48.3%) | $800 · 70 | $724 · 54 | $519 | Jul 1, 2026 10:40 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
3995
Won
3058
Lost
805
Win Rate
79.2%
Profit Factor
1.81x
Avg Win
$24.2
Avg Loss
-$50.8
Total Wins
$74K
Total Losses
-$40.9K
Avg. Hold Time
Worst Loss
-$1.74K
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield