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| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 19.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $191 (159.6%) | $120 · 115 | $0 | $312 | Jun 21, 2026 1:34 PM | |
![]() Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? WonNoPolitics | 29.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $92.1 (59.9%) | $154 · 50 | $0 | $246 | Jul 18, 2026 12:50 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 15.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $76.7 (234.4%) | $32.7 · 45 | $0 | $109 | Jun 21, 2026 1:39 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 36.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $61.9 (37.5%) | $165 · 88 | $0 | $227 | Jun 20, 2026 6:09 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 7.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $54.1 (537.5%) | $10.1 · 23 | $0 | $64.2 | Jun 21, 2026 1:44 PM | |
22.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $53 (110.0%) | $48.2 · 16 | $0 | $101 | Jul 25, 2026 6:10 AM | ||
11.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $47.2 (324.1%) | $14.5 · 13 | $0 | $61.7 | Jul 14, 2026 8:13 PM | ||
![]() Iran full airspace closure by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 24.4¢ / 5.2¢ | $47.1 (104.6%) | $45 · 15 | $0 | $92.2 | Jul 29, 2026 4:09 AM | |
20.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $45.6 (149.9%) | $30.4 · 38 | $0 | $76.1 | Jun 20, 2026 12:34 AM | ||
37.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $37.2 (38.9%) | $95.7 · 79 | $0 | $126 | Jun 20, 2026 2:39 AM | ||
24.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $34.3 (86.6%) | $39.6 · 15 | $0 | $73.8 | Jul 14, 2026 4:10 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 50.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $30.9 (27.3%) | $113 · 40 | $0 | $78.9 | Jul 6, 2026 2:41 AM | |
![]() Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? WonNoPolitics | 17.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $29.9 (178.9%) | $16.7 · 10 | $0 | $46.7 | Jul 20, 2026 3:49 PM | |
24.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $28.9 (101.0%) | $28.6 · 8 | $0 | $57.5 | Jul 18, 2026 6:36 AM | ||
30.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $28.6 (56.2%) | $50.8 · 32 | $0 | $79.4 | Jun 23, 2026 10:16 AM | ||
33.0¢ / 23.0¢ | $23.2 (51.5%) | $45.1 · 14 | $0 | $68.3 | Jul 16, 2026 5:16 PM | ||
![]() Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 27.2¢ / 26.0¢ | $23.2 (83.9%) | $27.6 · 19 | $0 | $50.8 | Jun 20, 2026 4:27 PM | |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8? WonYesPolitics | 5.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $22.4 (876.6%) | $2.56 · 5 | $0 | $25 | Jul 11, 2026 10:36 PM | |
![]() Fed rate hike in 2026? WonNoEconomics | 41.7¢ / 47.0¢ | $21.3 (19.9%) | $107 · 24 | $0 | $129 | Jul 14, 2026 10:23 PM | |
20.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $21.1 (133.5%) | $15.8 · 10 | $0 | $36.9 | Jul 18, 2026 6:04 AM | ||
![]() Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12? WonNoPolitics | 3.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $20.9 (1328.6%) | $1.57 · 2 | $0 | $22.5 | Jul 15, 2026 2:02 PM | |
11.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $20.5 (286.9%) | $7.14 · 13 | $0 | $27.6 | Jun 16, 2026 2:47 PM | ||
12.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $20.5 (290.3%) | $7.05 · 5 | $0 | $27.5 | Jul 18, 2026 6:09 AM | ||
16.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $20.4 (196.6%) | $10.4 · 6 | $0 | $30.8 | Jul 24, 2026 7:19 PM | ||
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9? WonYesPolitics | 14.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $18.7 (156.2%) | $12 · 10 | $0 | $30.6 | Jul 17, 2026 9:17 PM |
1–25
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Natural Disaster in 2026? YesWeather 15.00 shares | 18.0¢ / 20.0¢ | $0.3 (11.1%) | $2.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:32 AM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 45.00 shares | 53.0¢ / 46.0¢ | -$3.15 (-13.2%) | $23.9 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:32 AM | |
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? YesTech 22.78 shares | 54.6¢ / 40.0¢ | -$3.86 (-20.7%) | $18.7 · 4 | $0 | $5.7 | Jul 29, 2026 4:31 AM | |
![]() Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? YesPolitics 45.00 shares | 68.0¢ / 56.0¢ | -$5.4 (-17.6%) | $30.6 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:27 AM | |
![]() Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29? YesPolitics 13.05 shares | 18.0¢ / 14.0¢ | -$0.52 (-22.2%) | $2.35 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:26 AM | |
![]() Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026… NoPolitics 9.87 shares | 67.6¢ / 71.0¢ | -$3.31 (-16.0%) | $20.7 · 4 | $0 | $10.3 | Jul 29, 2026 4:23 AM | |
![]() Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 45.00 shares | 68.2¢ / 2.3¢ | -$29.6 (-96.6%) | $30.7 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:22 AM | |
![]() Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? NoPolitics 9.59 shares | 80.5¢ / 83.0¢ | -$2.94 (-18.2%) | $16.1 · 3 | $0 | $5.21 | Jul 29, 2026 4:20 AM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? YesPolitics 45.00 shares | 7.3¢ / 0.3¢ | -$3.17 (-95.9%) | $3.3 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:15 AM | |
![]() Nothing Ever Happens: July SomethingPolitics 45.00 shares | 24.4¢ / 22.8¢ | $21.4 (67.0%) | $31.9 · 10 | $0 | $43 | Jul 29, 2026 4:14 AM | |
![]() Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 31.67 shares | 45.6¢ / 1.2¢ | -$11.8 (-31.8%) | $37.2 · 8 | $0 | $25 | Jul 29, 2026 4:13 AM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by July 31? NoPolitics 3.73 shares | 73.9¢ / 94.9¢ | -$43.2 (-31.1%) | $139 · 17 | $0 | $92.2 | Jul 29, 2026 4:09 AM | |
![]() Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? NoTech 10.00 shares | 18.0¢ / 58.0¢ | $4 (222.4%) | $1.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:06 AM | |
![]() Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? NoPolitics 2.02 shares | 67.7¢ / 73.0¢ | -$3.61 (-23.1%) | $15.6 · 4 | $0 | $10.5 | Jul 29, 2026 4:05 AM | |
![]() Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? NoTech 20.00 shares | 34.6¢ / 39.0¢ | $5.5 (31.8%) | $17.3 · 7 | $0 | $15 | Jul 29, 2026 4:04 AM | |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? YesPolitics 10.83 shares | 11.6¢ / 3.7¢ | $20.9 (265.6%) | $7.86 · 5 | $0 | $28.3 | Jul 29, 2026 4:01 AM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 42.18 shares | 32.0¢ / 31.0¢ | $8.19 (28.4%) | $28.8 · 6 | $0 | $23.9 | Jul 29, 2026 4:00 AM | |
![]() Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? NoPolitics 5.00 shares | 64.0¢ / 69.0¢ | $0.25 (7.8%) | $3.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:50 AM | |
![]() Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? YesPolitics 18.13 shares | 35.5¢ / 1.5¢ | $0.46 (2.0%) | $22.7 · 9 | $0 | $22.9 | Jul 29, 2026 3:48 AM | |
![]() Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? YesPolitics 5.00 shares | 35.7¢ / 38.0¢ | $1.55 (29.0%) | $5.35 · 3 | $0 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 3:47 AM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? YesPolitics 45.00 shares | 38.1¢ / 33.0¢ | -$2.3 (-13.4%) | $17.1 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:41 AM | |
![]() Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? YesPolitics 5.00 shares | 22.0¢ / 0.4¢ | $3.12 (70.9%) | $4.4 · 2 | $0 | $7.5 | Jul 29, 2026 3:35 AM | |
![]() Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? NoPolitics 37.14 shares | 75.5¢ / 96.9¢ | $4.15 (10.5%) | $39.3 · 4 | $0 | $7.5 | Jul 29, 2026 3:30 AM | |
![]() Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27? YesPolitics 24.17 shares | 23.1¢ / 1.1¢ | -$0.62 (-6.4%) | $9.63 · 5 | $0 | $8.75 | Jul 29, 2026 3:29 AM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? NoPolitics 15.00 shares | 91.1¢ / 99.7¢ | $1.29 (9.4%) | $13.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:29 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
677
Won
237
Lost
83
Win Rate
74.1%
Profit Factor
3.27x
Avg Win
$2.28
Avg Loss
-$1.99
Total Wins
$540
Total Losses
-$165
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield