
Volume
$315K
Txns
3,150
Traders
514
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time between May 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 86%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 96%$0volume
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | ABALOSPRESOPOLITICO | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +15.00 | $0.15 | |
| 7mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 1.0¢ | -15.00 | $0.15 | |
| 7mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.92 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | DEGENKHAN | No / 99.9¢ | +230.48 | $230 | |
| 7mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.02 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.54 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 7mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +76.00 | $0.08 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +63.00 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33.85 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.55 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33.79 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | ObsidianPM | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.00 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +439.00 | $0.44 | |
| 7mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.33 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +54.92 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | oggogogo008 | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 7mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +28.00 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +83.00 | $0.08 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 |
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