Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
ActiveVolume
$140K
Txns
3,543
Traders
504
Fees
$300
Liquidity
$54,463
Ends
Jun 17, 2026
Volume
$140K
Txns
3,543
Traders
504
Fees
$300
Liquidity
$54,463
Ends
Jun 17, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2026, currently scheduled for July 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | TheReturnOfDarthMaul | No / 96.9¢ | +117.85 | $114 | |
| 1h | QMG-MACRO | No / 96.7¢ | -117.85 | $114 | |
| 1h | TheReturnOfDarthMaul | No / 96.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $969 | |
| 1h | QMG-MACRO | Yes / 3.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $32.5 | |
| 5h | TheReturnOfDarthMaul | No / 96.9¢ | +19.13 | $18.5 | |
| 5h | 0x461eE42167F246504E5057264658b562dd4Dec51-1769847066562 | No / 96.7¢ | -19.13 | $18.5 | |
| 8h | Haradwaith | No / 97.0¢ | -4.62 | $4.48 | |
| 8h | 0xdDFDf1616Af953f98f78aFB324979C809F8Fa0d0-1774767892703 | No / 97.0¢ | +20.62 | $20 | |
| 8h | herrmess | Yes / 3.0¢ | +16.00 | $0.48 | |
| 15h | kris0999 | Yes / 3.1¢ | +161.29 | $5.24 | |
| 15h | TheReturnOfDarthMaul | No / 96.9¢ | +161.29 | $156 | |
| 1d | 0x27BF71d8B5AbC8CF97Da465c94355Aa26F92f9D3-1772700228902 | Yes / 2.9¢ | -26.00 | $0.74 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | No / 97.0¢ | -26.00 | $25.2 | |
| 1d | 98888 | Yes / 3.2¢ | +34.37 | $1.15 | |
| 1d | SaracensCapital2 | No / 96.8¢ | +34.37 | $33.3 | |
| 1d | dex52 | No / 97.2¢ | +5.00 | $4.86 | |
| 1d | SaracensCapital2 | No / 96.8¢ | +58.13 | $56.3 | |
| 1d | 0x08A9b5143B788047Fb9503A0700D40106d839A52-1781016300116 | Yes / 3.2¢ | +63.13 | $2.1 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | No / 96.9¢ | +493.38 | $478 | |
| 1d | dex53 | No / 97.2¢ | +5.00 | $4.86 | |
| 1d | Biver52 | Yes / 3.1¢ | -147.48 | $4.57 | |
| 1d | 54sfds | Yes / 2.8¢ | -11.20 | $0.31 | |
| 1d | BSS37 | Yes / 3.1¢ | -176.93 | $5.48 | |
| 1d | Mikolangello | Yes / 3.1¢ | +975.19 | $31.5 | |
| 1d | tumba0956 | No / 97.1¢ | +41.20 | $40 |
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.3Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.33Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.8Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.64Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 52%$1.75Mvolume
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100%$2.89Mvolume