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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 163.62 shares | 50.0¢ / 4.9¢ | -$73.8 (-90.2%) | $81.8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:51 PM | |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? NoPolitics 163.62 shares | 50.0¢ / 94.9¢ | $73.5 (89.8%) | $81.8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:51 PM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 50.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $81.8 (100.0%) | $81.8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 3, 2026 7:47 AM | |
96.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.28 (3.4%) | $155 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 3, 2026 3:46 PM | ||
97.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.81 (2.4%) | $159 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 13, 2026 6:20 AM | ||
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? WonNoPolitics | 88.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.23 (13.0%) | $9.46 · 1 | $10.7 · 1 | $0 | Feb 1, 2026 7:36 AM | |
 Nothing Ever Happens: December WonYesPolitics | 90.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.08 (11.1%) | $9.74 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 12:13 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? WonNoPolitics | 93.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.06 (4.8%) | $21.9 · 1 | $23 · 1 | $0 | Mar 22, 2025 6:25 AM | |
79.0¢ / 87.0¢ | $0.96 (10.1%) | $9.49 · 1 | $10.4 · 1 | $0 | Jan 28, 2026 10:24 AM | ||
 Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting? WonYesPolitics | 87.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.84 (13.8%) | $6.1 · 1 | $6.94 · 1 | $0 | Sep 17, 2025 8:22 PM | |
 Will Tesla dip to $308 in November? WonNoFinance | 97.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.56 (3.0%) | $18.8 · 1 | $19.3 · 1 | $0 | Nov 29, 2025 12:12 AM | |
92.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.43 (4.4%) | $9.98 · 1 | $10.4 · 1 | $0 | Oct 18, 2025 6:31 AM | ||
90.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.42 (7.9%) | $5.26 · 1 | $5.67 · 1 | $0 | Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM | ||
96.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.38 (4.0%) | $9.73 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 12, 2026 11:24 AM | ||
96.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.35 (3.5%) | $9.78 · 1 | $10.1 · 1 | $0 | Jun 4, 2025 2:58 AM | ||
94.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.33 (4.8%) | $6.94 · 1 | $7.27 · 1 | $0 | May 14, 2025 1:07 AM | ||
96.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.25 (2.8%) | $8.84 · 1 | $9.08 · 1 | $0 | May 19, 2025 1:04 PM | ||
94.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.25 (4.3%) | $5.73 · 1 | $5.97 · 1 | $0 | May 31, 2025 7:49 PM | ||
 Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? WonNoPolitics | 95.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.24 (3.1%) | $7.65 · 1 | $7.89 · 1 | $0 | May 21, 2025 7:00 AM | |
96.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.23 (3.1%) | $7.27 · 1 | $7.49 · 1 | $0 | May 18, 2025 10:53 PM | ||
97.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.22 (1.6%) | $13.2 · 1 | $13.4 · 3 | $0 | May 1, 2025 1:32 AM | ||
78.0¢ / 81.0¢ | $0.2 (3.8%) | $5.24 · 1 | $5.44 · 1 | $0 | Jan 28, 2026 10:25 AM | ||
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%? WonNoPolitics | 95.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.19 (2.6%) | $7.46 · 1 | $7.65 · 1 | $0 | Jun 2, 2025 11:23 AM | |
96.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.16 (2.5%) | $6.53 · 1 | $6.69 · 1 | $0 | Feb 16, 2026 8:37 AM | ||
 US bank failure by January 31? WonNoFinance | 93.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.14 (2.0%) | $6.9 · 1 | $7.04 · 1 | $0 | Jan 31, 2026 1:34 AM | |
98.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.14 (1.9%) | $7.01 · 1 | $7.14 · 1 | $0 | Jun 1, 2025 8:02 AM | ||
97.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.14 (2.1%) | $6.59 · 1 | $6.72 · 1 | $0 | Jul 6, 2025 11:45 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
49
Won
39
Lost
8
Win Rate
83.0%
Profit Factor
1.70x
Avg Win
$0.51
Avg Loss
-$1.46
Total Wins
$19.8
Total Losses
-$11.7
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
