
Volume
$75K
Txns
1,620
Traders
368
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States enacts an Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) specifically targeting Venezuela by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, both chambers of Congress must pass, and the President (currently Donald Trump) must sign into law, a bill that explicitly authorizes the use of U.S. military force against Venezuela. The authorization does not need to use the exact phrase “Authorization for Use of Military Force,” but it must clearly and specifically authorize military action against Venezuela as a state actor. General defense appropriations, intelligence findings, covert action approvals, or broader regional authorizations that do not explicitly pertain to Venezuela will not qualify. Presidential orders or military action without such a law being passed and signed will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official U.S. government records (e.g., Congress.gov, White House releases); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No 90%$0volume
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
No 99%$0volume
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 82%$0volume
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 73%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.5¢ | +400.00 | $398 | |
| 6mo | sharingan-kakashi | No / 99.9¢ | +120.00 | $120 | |
| 6mo | 0xeb74819DF2d71A8Fcf78c98CeBd0b5FD976b0610-1761124129396 | No / 99.6¢ | +10.00 | $9.96 | |
| 6mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.2¢ | -154.22 | $0.31 | |
| 6mo | 0xeb74819DF2d71A8Fcf78c98CeBd0b5FD976b0610-1761124129396 | No / 99.8¢ | +30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 6mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.5¢ | -42.27 | $0.21 | |
| 6mo | AJK2 | No / 99.5¢ | -1,307.12 | $1.3K | |
| 6mo | Nadmi | Yes / 0.6¢ | -550.63 | $3.3 | |
| 6mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.51 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Quokka238 | No / 99.8¢ | -5.51 | $5.5 | |
| 6mo | DEGENKHAN | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | manini | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | DEGENKHAN | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | fengshu | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | DEGENKHAN | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | NikkiPerry | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | DEGENKHAN | No / 99.9¢ | -1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 6mo | AJK2 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1K | |
| 6mo | DEGENKHAN | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | DisHai | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | Cel2estilame9286 | No / 99.8¢ | -5.60 | $5.59 | |
| 6mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.60 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | daiwu | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | DEGENKHAN | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | S888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -309.69 | $0.31 |
1–25