
Volume
$2M
Txns
8,885
Traders
1,573
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 26, 7:00 PM ET and, December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$6.97Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$18.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 84%$22.3Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$10.4Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.11Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$63.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.26 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.50 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.32 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +147.00 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.40 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.65 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.74 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.76 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.44 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.78 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.93 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.62 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.62 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.38 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +563.00 | $0.56 | |
| 5mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.9¢ | +20,474.67 | $20.5K | |
| 5mo | Bomzhkolyadun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +19,109.57 | $19.1 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.70 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xbae242171969618Fe17f12170445b370505A05F2-1766250514386 | No / 99.9¢ | +4,444.00 | $4.44K | |
| 5mo | Bomzhkolyadun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,444.00 | $4.44 | |
| 5mo | Tenebrus7 | No / 99.9¢ | +33,000.00 | $33K | |
| 5mo | Bomzhkolyadun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33,000.00 | $33 | |
| 5mo | Tenebrus7 | No / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K |
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