
Volume
$2M
Txns
8,896
Traders
1,573
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 26, 7:00 PM ET and, December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.26 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.50 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.32 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +147.00 | $0.15 | |
| 6mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.40 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.65 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.74 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.76 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.44 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | ObsidianPM | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.78 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.93 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.62 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.62 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.38 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +563.00 | $0.56 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.9¢ | +20,474.67 | $20.5K | |
| 6mo | Bomzhkolyadun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +19,109.57 | $19.1 | |
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 6mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.70 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | 0xbae242171969618Fe17f12170445b370505A05F2-1766250514386 | No / 99.9¢ | +4,444.00 | $4.44K | |
| 6mo | Bomzhkolyadun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,444.00 | $4.44 | |
| 6mo | Tenebrus7 | No / 99.9¢ | +33,000.00 | $33K | |
| 6mo | Bomzhkolyadun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33,000.00 | $33 | |
| 6mo | Tenebrus7 | No / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K |
1–25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 65%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 100%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 91%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 55%$0volume