
Volume
$52K
Txns
1,153
Traders
300
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
There are currently around 200 Hamas fighters trapped in the Israeli-controlled portion of Gaza, separated from the Hamas-controlled portion of Gaza by the “Yellow Line”. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/kushner-israel-trapped-hamas-fighters-issue-bedevils-gaza-truce-progress-2025-11-10/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Israel allows 20 or more Hamas fighters trapped in the Israeli-controlled portions of Gaza to leave to areas not under Israeli control by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 20 or more Hamas fighters being allowed to leave to Hamas-controlled portions of Gaza, third-party countries, or any other areas not under Israeli control will all qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Transfers to Israeli detention outside of Israeli-controlled Gaza will not count. Escapes, rescues, or other methods of leaving Israeli-controlled Gaza will not count. The relevant Hamas fighters must be credibly reported to have been allowed to leave Israeli-controlled Gaza within this market’s timeframe. Announcements alone that the fighters will be allowed to leave will not qualify. The primary source of resolution for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes 86%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 92%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 77%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 60%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | yougotme | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +132.00 | $0.13 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +437.00 | $0.44 | |
| 7mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.24 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | ObsidianPM | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.85 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | denizz | No / 99.9¢ | +1,620.89 | $1.62K | |
| 7mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +56.17 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +122.00 | $0.12 | |
| 7mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.75 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.35 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.12 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.40 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.92 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.69 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.61 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +123.07 | $0.12 | |
| 7mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.86 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.86 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.17 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +94.00 | $0.09 | |
| 7mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +73.00 | $0.07 |
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