Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Open1 market·Ends Jun 30, 2026

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Politics Geopolitics Somaliland somalia

On Friday, December 26th, Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as a sovereign state. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any other UN member state formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with a relevant country, but do not formally recognize the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a recognizing country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Markets

Market
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	21%	$265	$2.31K

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
12h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Boxzilla	No / 79.3¢	+63.03	$50
12h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 21.0¢	+42.00	$8.82
12h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 purebaby	Yes / 20.0¢	+21.03	$4.21
19h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	KimchiCapital	No / 64.8¢	+166.00	$108
19h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 36.0¢	+25.00	$9
19h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Zerocool21	Yes / 35.0¢	+141.00	$49.4
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Zerocool21	Yes / 23.0¢	+52.00	$12
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 23.0¢	-22.00	$5.06
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Colala	Yes / 23.0¢	-30.00	$6.9
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 79.0¢	+1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 79.0¢	+1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 79.0¢	+1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 79.0¢	+1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 79.0¢	+1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 79.0¢	+1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Common	Yes / 23.0¢	+20.00	$4.6
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 23.0¢	-20.00	$4.6
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-50.00	$39.5
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 deuce1	No / 78.8¢	+150.92	$119
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 22.0¢	+8.43	$1.85
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 purebaby	Yes / 20.0¢	+15.40	$3.08
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 21.0¢	+42.00	$8.82
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	No / 79.0¢	-5.09	$4.02
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Colala	Yes / 22.0¢	+30.00	$6.6
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 lorry3122	No / 73.0¢	+63.46	$46.3
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 AD-01	No / 73.0¢	-63.46	$46.3
3d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Colala	Yes / 24.0¢	-32.63	$7.83
3d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 eeeeeeret	No / 76.0¢	-37.72	$28.7
3d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	No / 76.0¢	+5.09	$3.87
4d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 74.0¢	+11.54	$8.54
4d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Pedalist	Yes / 26.0¢	+11.54	$3
4d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 eeeeeeret	No / 77.0¢	-12.28	$9.46
4d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 keybo	Yes / 23.0¢	-12.28	$2.82
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 hassan-nasrallah	No / 78.3¢	-358.77	$281
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	+50.00	$39.5
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 eeeeeeret	No / 79.0¢	+50.00	$39.5
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Haradwaith	Yes / 21.0¢	-16.00	$3.36
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 pm-other-01	No / 79.0¢	+5.00	$3.95
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Haradwaith	Yes / 22.0¢	-174.31	$38.3
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 AD-01	No / 78.0¢	+63.46	$49.5
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Zerocool21	Yes / 19.0¢	-176.91	$33.6
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Xendo1	Yes / 19.0¢	+176.91	$33.6
6d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	No / 79.0¢	-5.56	$4.39
6d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	paastik	Yes / 20.3¢	-17.85	$3.63

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
12h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Boxzilla	No / 79.3¢	+63.03	$50
12h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 21.0¢	+42.00	$8.82
12h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 purebaby	Yes / 20.0¢	+21.03	$4.21
19h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	KimchiCapital	No / 64.8¢	+166.00	$108
19h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 36.0¢	+25.00	$9
19h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Zerocool21	Yes / 35.0¢	+141.00	$49.4
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Zerocool21	Yes / 23.0¢	+52.00	$12
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 23.0¢	-22.00	$5.06
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Colala	Yes / 23.0¢	-30.00	$6.9
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 79.0¢	+1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 79.0¢	+1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 79.0¢	+1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 79.0¢	+1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 79.0¢	+1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 79.0¢	+1.27	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Common	Yes / 23.0¢	+20.00	$4.6
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 23.0¢	-20.00	$4.6
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	-50.00	$39.5
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 deuce1	No / 78.8¢	+150.92	$119
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 22.0¢	+8.43	$1.85
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 purebaby	Yes / 20.0¢	+15.40	$3.08
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 21.0¢	+42.00	$8.82
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	No / 79.0¢	-5.09	$4.02
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Colala	Yes / 22.0¢	+30.00	$6.6
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 lorry3122	No / 73.0¢	+63.46	$46.3
2d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 AD-01	No / 73.0¢	-63.46	$46.3
3d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Colala	Yes / 24.0¢	-32.63	$7.83
3d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 eeeeeeret	No / 76.0¢	-37.72	$28.7
3d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	No / 76.0¢	+5.09	$3.87
4d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 74.0¢	+11.54	$8.54
4d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Pedalist	Yes / 26.0¢	+11.54	$3
4d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 eeeeeeret	No / 77.0¢	-12.28	$9.46
4d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 keybo	Yes / 23.0¢	-12.28	$2.82
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 hassan-nasrallah	No / 78.3¢	-358.77	$281
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 vino1234	No / 79.0¢	+50.00	$39.5
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 eeeeeeret	No / 79.0¢	+50.00	$39.5
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Haradwaith	Yes / 21.0¢	-16.00	$3.36
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 pm-other-01	No / 79.0¢	+5.00	$3.95
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Haradwaith	Yes / 22.0¢	-174.31	$38.3
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 AD-01	No / 78.0¢	+63.46	$49.5
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Zerocool21	Yes / 19.0¢	-176.91	$33.6
5d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Xendo1	Yes / 19.0¢	+176.91	$33.6
6d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	No / 79.0¢	-5.56	$4.39
6d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	paastik	Yes / 20.3¢	-17.85	$3.63

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

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Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

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Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

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Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

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Recent trades

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