
Volume
$18K
Txns
1,721
Traders
182
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$14,898
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
On Friday, December 26th, Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as a sovereign state. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any other UN member state formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with a relevant country, but do not formally recognize the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a recognizing country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 87%$26Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$4.93Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 65%$25.3Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 91%$3.17Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$19.7Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81%$37.6Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57m | ilovecarrots | Yes / 4.2¢ | -6.87 | $0.29 | |
| 57m | Mak1ma | No / 95.8¢ | -6.87 | $6.58 | |
| 5h | VelayFinn | Yes / 3.8¢ | -5.54 | $0.21 | |
| 5h | Colala | No / 96.2¢ | -5.54 | $5.33 | |
| 11h | 0xeC0AABfaFf0503e7F5d3C47c24C1FCBc1b5c37fc-1769973202769 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +20.00 | $1 | |
| 11h | Colala | No / 95.0¢ | +20.00 | $19 | |
| 11h | 0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065 | No / 96.6¢ | -10.00 | $9.66 | |
| 11h | buzzedballs | No / 96.6¢ | +30.00 | $29 | |
| 11h | Colala | No / 96.6¢ | -20.00 | $19.3 | |
| 15h | Colala | No / 94.7¢ | +19.99 | $18.9 | |
| 15h | vee17 | No / 94.7¢ | -19.99 | $18.9 | |
| 1d | HerrieDavis | Yes / 6.8¢ | -6.86 | $0.47 | |
| 1d | Dr.PNL | Yes / 6.9¢ | -7.73 | $0.53 | |
| 1d | 0xc8758a36c80E55701cdfF23eD91B1012f519528A-1777462988533 | Yes / 6.9¢ | +14.59 | $1 | |
| 1d | Dr.PNL | Yes / 6.9¢ | -15.00 | $1.03 | |
| 1d | mark-trades | Yes / 6.9¢ | +28.99 | $2 | |
| 1d | Dr.PNL | Yes / 6.9¢ | -3.99 | $0.27 | |
| 1d | 0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065 | No / 93.1¢ | +10.00 | $9.31 | |
| 2d | 50cents | Yes / 6.2¢ | +20.00 | $1.24 | |
| 2d | purebaby | Yes / 6.2¢ | -20.00 | $1.24 | |
| 2d | Dr.PNL | Yes / 4.0¢ | -22.56 | $0.9 | |
| 2d | 50cents | Yes / 4.0¢ | +37.60 | $1.5 | |
| 2d | subsurface | Yes / 4.0¢ | -15.04 | $0.6 | |
| 3d | J25525 | No / 96.0¢ | -4.96 | $4.76 | |
| 3d | subsurface | Yes / 4.0¢ | -4.96 | $0.2 |
1–25