| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes 70.00 net shares | 40.9¢ / 43.0¢ | $0.75 (5.2%) | Jun 4, 2026 1:27 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 740.00 net shares | 31.5¢ / 20.0¢ | -$50.4 (-36.4%) | Jun 3, 2026 10:57 PM | |
 US x China tariff agreement by June 30? Yes 38.82 net shares | 15.0¢ / 4.8¢ | -$7.75 (-68.0%) | Jun 2, 2026 1:32 PM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes 260.00 net shares | 3.1¢ / 2.5¢ | -$0.75 (-18.8%) | Jun 2, 2026 8:22 AM | |
 June 30 Yes 100.00 net shares | 1.7¢ / 3.1¢ | $0.84 (82.4%) | Jun 1, 2026 12:25 PM | |
 Lando Norris Yes 119.05 net shares | 8.6¢ / 2.0¢ | -$3.95 (-76.8%) | May 24, 2026 11:32 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes 327.70 net shares | 12.7¢ / 0.0¢ | -$22.1 (-100.0%) | May 23, 2026 11:12 PM | |
 May 24 No 0.02 net shares | 2.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.01 (4247.8%) | May 23, 2026 11:03 PM | |
 Japan Yes 1,387.23 net shares | 0.8¢ / 0.0¢ | -$6.11 (-100.0%) | May 23, 2026 8:10 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -30.00 net shares | 27.6¢ / 46.0¢ | $8.29 (66.8%) | May 23, 2026 1:08 AM | |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No 80.00 net shares | 10.0¢ / 11.0¢ | $0.4 (10.0%) | May 21, 2026 4:24 PM | |
 Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? Yes 133.33 net shares | 1.5¢ / 0.5¢ | -$1.74 (-67.6%) | May 13, 2026 12:32 AM | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 213.33 net shares | 10.7¢ / 8.0¢ | -$2.87 (-25.1%) | May 12, 2026 6:50 PM | |
 Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 279.98 net shares | 12.8¢ / 11.0¢ | -$3.32 (-13.7%) | May 11, 2026 4:54 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 60.00 net shares | 8.0¢ / 3.9¢ | -$1.23 (-51.2%) | May 11, 2026 6:54 AM | |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 30.00 net shares | 32.7¢ / 28.0¢ | -$5.83 (-14.3%) | May 10, 2026 12:44 PM | |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes 177.65 net shares | 16.3¢ / 16.0¢ | -$0.29 (-2.0%) | May 10, 2026 10:03 AM | |
 December 31, 2026 Yes 120.00 net shares | 7.0¢ / 15.0¢ | $4.8 (114.3%) | May 10, 2026 8:04 AM | |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes 76.92 net shares | 5.2¢ / 2.8¢ | -$0.92 (-46.2%) | May 10, 2026 7:57 AM | |
 December 31 Yes 94.67 net shares | 15.0¢ / 18.0¢ | $1.87 (20.3%) | May 9, 2026 6:28 AM | |
 China Yes 100.06 net shares | 3.2¢ / 0.2¢ | -$1.65 (-93.8%) | May 9, 2026 6:12 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 310.00 net shares | 24.1¢ / 12.0¢ | -$19.3 (-50.2%) | May 6, 2026 1:35 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 60.00 net shares | 70.0¢ / 81.0¢ | $3.3 (15.7%) | May 4, 2026 7:29 AM | |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes 28.57 net shares | 21.0¢ / 19.0¢ | -$0.29 (-9.5%) | May 4, 2026 6:07 AM | |
 Vladimir Putin Yes 73.33 net shares | 5.5¢ / 0.0¢ | -$2 (-100.0%) | May 3, 2026 8:26 PM |
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