| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? NoPolitics 10.00 shares | 90.0¢ / 93.9¢ | $0.9 (5.0%) | $18 · 1 | $9.51 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:24 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? NoPolitics 14.16 shares | 70.6¢ / 65.0¢ | -$0.8 (-8.0%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:23 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? NoPolitics 8.93 shares | 56.0¢ / 57.0¢ | $0.09 (1.8%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:21 AM | |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? NoPolitics 15.38 shares | 13.0¢ / 14.2¢ | $0.18 (9.2%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:21 AM | |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? NoPolitics 50.96 shares | 84.3¢ / 95.3¢ | $7.75 (12.9%) | $60 · 4 | $19.2 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:20 AM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoPolitics 59.71 shares | 77.4¢ / 76.0¢ | -$0.81 (-1.8%) | $46.2 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:19 AM | |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31? YesPolitics 5.13 shares | 39.0¢ / 5.2¢ | -$1.73 (-86.7%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:09 AM | |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 15.00 shares | 64.0¢ / 98.3¢ | $6.27 (37.5%) | $16.7 · 2 | $8.22 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:05 AM | |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? YesPolitics 12.63 shares | 79.2¢ / 27.0¢ | -$6.59 (-65.9%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:01 AM | |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? YesPolitics 29.29 shares | 25.8¢ / 30.9¢ | $3.59 (32.6%) | $11 · 3 | $5.55 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:50 AM | |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? YesPolitics 13.51 shares | 74.0¢ / 0.3¢ | -$9.96 (-99.6%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:57 AM | |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? NoPolitics 13.33 shares | 75.0¢ / 92.0¢ | $2.27 (22.7%) | $10 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:44 AM | |
 Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 4.12 shares | 54.8¢ / 99.0¢ | $3.48 (69.7%) | $5 · 1 | $4.4 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:00 AM | |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026… YesPolitics 40.00 shares | 33.8¢ / 31.0¢ | -$1.1 (-8.1%) | $13.5 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:10 PM | |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 38.46 shares | 13.0¢ / 0.3¢ | -$4.88 (-97.7%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 9:30 PM | |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 18.04 shares | 27.7¢ / 11.0¢ | -$3.02 (-60.3%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 7:09 PM |
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