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| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 48.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $105 (107.9%) | $96.8 · 5 | $57.9 · 1 | $0 | May 9, 2026 1:15 PM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 51.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $73.7 (87.3%) | $84.4 · 3 | $117 · 1 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM | |
80.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $58.3 (11.9%) | $489 · 21 | $313 · 8 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 7:03 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 16.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $50 (326.0%) | $15.3 · 4 | $65.3 · 7 | $0 | Apr 22, 2026 7:44 AM | |
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 26.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $40.3 (280.6%) | $14.4 · 2 | $0 | $0 | May 9, 2026 1:05 AM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 87.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $34.4 (14.0%) | $246 · 8 | $0 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 7:03 AM | |
![]() Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? WonYesPolitics | 72.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $27.4 (12.9%) | $213 · 8 | $241 · 4 | $0 | Jun 2, 2026 1:47 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 20.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $24 (177.5%) | $13.5 · 1 | $37.5 · 2 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 6:33 AM | |
86.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $21.9 (15.6%) | $141 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 6:39 AM | ||
51.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $20.4 (80.5%) | $25.3 · 5 | $23.6 · 2 | $0 | Apr 27, 2026 6:00 AM | ||
74.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $17.3 (32.5%) | $53.4 · 8 | $27.4 · 1 | $0 | May 4, 2026 7:51 AM | ||
![]() NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 95.4¢ / 99.7¢ | $13.4 (62.1%) | $21.6 · 1 | $34.9 · 1 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 5:51 PM | |
75.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.9 (33.3%) | $32.8 · 5 | $0 | $0 | May 16, 2026 11:36 AM | ||
81.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.1 (17.6%) | $57.4 · 3 | $67.5 · 2 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 4:06 AM | ||
73.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $9.88 (83.9%) | $11.8 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Apr 21, 2026 6:00 AM | ||
75.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.3 (32.3%) | $25.7 · 4 | $34 · 1 | $0 | May 12, 2026 3:26 PM | ||
![]() Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 63.5¢ / 95.1¢ | $8.22 (13.6%) | $60.5 · 8 | $68.7 · 3 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 8:56 PM | |
86.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.96 (77.2%) | $10.3 · 1 | $5.77 · 1 | $0 | Apr 24, 2026 6:00 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 39.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.11 (10.9%) | $65.1 · 12 | $72.3 · 8 | $0 | May 1, 2026 12:32 AM | |
63.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.1 (38.9%) | $18.3 · 4 | $14.6 · 2 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 6:00 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 73.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.92 (12.7%) | $54.5 · 7 | $54.1 · 3 | $0 | May 16, 2026 6:46 AM | |
![]() Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 89.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.7 (11.8%) | $48.1 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 12:27 PM | |
88.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.66 (11.6%) | $48.9 · 8 | $4.86 · 1 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 8:26 AM | ||
75.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.2 (32.9%) | $15.8 · 4 | $0 | $0 | May 4, 2026 7:51 AM | ||
82.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.19 (13.5%) | $38.3 · 6 | $43.5 · 3 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM |
1–25
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? YesPolitics 0.08 shares | 20.8¢ / 0.7¢ | $2.75 (2.6%) | $108 · 7 | $111 · 6 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 9:05 PM | |
![]() Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? NoPolitics 159.39 shares | 78.6¢ / 99.1¢ | $34.7 (17.9%) | $194 · 5 | $71 · 1 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 8:46 PM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? NoPolitics 0.17 shares | 69.2¢ / 99.6¢ | -$66.3 (-17.6%) | $377 · 14 | $311 · 15 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 8:30 PM | |
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? NoPolitics 523.37 shares | 81.3¢ / 84.0¢ | $14.1 (3.3%) | $426 · 10 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 8:20 PM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoPolitics 41.69 shares | 70.5¢ / 86.0¢ | $6.76 (11.7%) | $57.9 · 7 | $28.8 · 5 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 8:15 PM | |
![]() US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? NoPolitics 13.92 shares | 38.0¢ / 37.0¢ | -$0.14 (-2.6%) | $5.29 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 8:12 PM | |
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? NoPolitics 196.74 shares | 69.2¢ / 73.0¢ | $11.6 (8.8%) | $132 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 8:10 PM | |
![]() Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? NoPolitics 103.52 shares | 82.3¢ / 86.0¢ | $3.82 (4.5%) | $85.2 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 8:04 PM | |
![]() Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? NoPolitics 24.46 shares | 87.5¢ / 99.8¢ | $4.3 (12.7%) | $33.8 · 3 | $13.7 · 1 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 7:53 PM | |
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 503.24 shares | 79.8¢ / 73.3¢ | -$32.5 (-8.1%) | $402 · 10 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 7:36 PM | |
![]() Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? NoPolitics 47.09 shares | 53.2¢ / 61.0¢ | $3.65 (14.6%) | $25.1 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 7:32 PM | |
![]() Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? NoPolitics 0.18 shares | 73.0¢ / 99.6¢ | $73.3 (18.3%) | $399 · 8 | $472 · 5 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 7:27 PM | |
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 172.91 shares | 49.5¢ / 57.0¢ | $16 (19.3%) | $82.6 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 7:21 PM | |
![]() Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? NoPolitics 209.36 shares | 96.9¢ / 99.7¢ | $5.93 (2.9%) | $203 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 7:15 PM | |
![]() Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? NoPolitics 130.72 shares | 67.0¢ / 75.0¢ | $10.5 (12.0%) | $87.6 · 13 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 6:15 PM | |
![]() Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? NoPolitics 94.05 shares | 88.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $1.88 (2.3%) | $82.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 6:02 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 152.45 shares | 60.9¢ / 51.0¢ | -$15.1 (-16.3%) | $92.9 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 6:00 PM | |
![]() Trump meets with Putin by December 31? NoPolitics 163.11 shares | 64.8¢ / 62.0¢ | -$4.53 (-4.3%) | $106 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 5:54 PM | |
![]() Will Trump and Putin not meet? YesPolitics 130.23 shares | 63.0¢ / 61.8¢ | -$1.56 (-1.9%) | $82 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 5:46 PM | |
![]() Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? YesPolitics 67.37 shares | 80.7¢ / 82.0¢ | $0.89 (1.6%) | $54.3 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 5:46 PM | |
![]() Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 30.39 shares | 90.0¢ / 94.9¢ | $1.49 (5.4%) | $27.3 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 5:46 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? NoPolitics 54.99 shares | 81.7¢ / 87.0¢ | $2.91 (6.5%) | $44.9 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 5:31 PM | |
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? NoPolitics 149.02 shares | 95.0¢ / 99.8¢ | $7.32 (4.9%) | $150 · 1 | $8.56 · 1 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 4:47 PM | |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? NoPolitics 19.70 shares | 83.0¢ / 82.0¢ | -$0.2 (-1.2%) | $16.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 4:47 PM | |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? NoPolitics 271.49 shares | 63.1¢ / 69.0¢ | $15.9 (9.3%) | $171 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 4:36 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
124
Won
47
Lost
18
Win Rate
72.3%
Profit Factor
1.89x
Avg Win
$11.4
Avg Loss
-$15.8
Total Wins
$535
Total Losses
-$284
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield