| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No 153.27 net shares | 81.5¢ / 83.0¢ | $1.13 (1.8%) | May 12, 2026 4:54 PM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 83.98 net shares | 65.8¢ / 65.0¢ | -$0.33 (-1.2%) | May 12, 2026 9:34 AM | |
 May 31 No 102.52 net shares | 89.4¢ / 89.0¢ | -$0.23 (-0.5%) | May 12, 2026 9:07 AM | |
 December 31 No -12.37 net shares | 75.5¢ / 74.0¢ | -$0 (-2.0%) | May 11, 2026 7:00 AM | |
 June 30 No 86.48 net shares | 29.7¢ / 40.0¢ | $4.44 (34.5%) | May 10, 2026 7:34 PM | |
June 30 No 35.67 net shares | 90.0¢ / 87.0¢ | -$0.53 (-3.3%) | May 10, 2026 6:12 PM | |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No 77.21 net shares | 87.5¢ / 88.7¢ | $0.45 (1.3%) | May 9, 2026 7:56 PM | |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? No 138.00 net shares | 87.2¢ / 93.0¢ | $4.74 (6.7%) | May 9, 2026 7:07 PM | |
 May 31 No 163.50 net shares | 53.5¢ / 76.0¢ | $18.9 (42.2%) | May 9, 2026 6:59 PM | |
 December 31, 2026 No 60.78 net shares | 90.0¢ / 87.0¢ | -$0.91 (-3.3%) | May 9, 2026 6:56 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No 45.14 net shares | 84.0¢ / 82.0¢ | -$0.45 (-2.4%) | May 9, 2026 6:30 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes 287.02 net shares | 48.1¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (107.8%) | May 9, 2026 1:15 PM | |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No 67.03 net shares | 96.8¢ / 94.7¢ | -$0.71 (-2.2%) | May 9, 2026 7:52 AM | |
 Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31? No 15.81 net shares | 94.1¢ / 95.8¢ | $0.13 (1.8%) | May 9, 2026 4:36 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No -9.61 net shares | 73.7¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (35.6%) | May 8, 2026 7:26 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 111.13 net shares | 70.5¢ / 72.0¢ | $0.82 (2.1%) | May 7, 2026 10:02 PM | |
 May 15 No 55.00 net shares | 78.3¢ / 98.7¢ | $8.92 (26.1%) | May 7, 2026 3:59 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 13.58 net shares | 56.9¢ / 69.0¢ | $0 (21.2%) | May 7, 2026 9:27 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 26.24 net shares | 82.7¢ / 94.0¢ | $0 (13.6%) | May 7, 2026 9:26 AM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No 0.01 net shares | 82.7¢ / 99.8¢ | $0 (20.7%) | May 7, 2026 9:26 AM | |
May 15 No 41.38 net shares | 73.1¢ / 98.5¢ | $1.85 (34.7%) | May 7, 2026 3:37 AM | |
 June 30 No 111.08 net shares | 96.2¢ / 95.5¢ | -$0.45 (-0.8%) | May 7, 2026 2:45 AM | |
 May 31, 2026 No 24.07 net shares | 89.0¢ / 85.0¢ | -$0.48 (-4.5%) | May 6, 2026 9:33 PM | |
May 22 No 31.92 net shares | 80.5¢ / 91.0¢ | $1.12 (13.1%) | May 6, 2026 2:01 AM | |
 June 30 No 43.34 net shares | 89.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $0.37 (1.1%) | May 5, 2026 11:05 PM |
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