shape41 Polymarket Trader

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? WonNoMentions	— / 0.0¢	$167	$0	$0	$0	Feb 25, 2026 3:18 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	95.8¢ / 100.0¢	$7.38 (4.4%)	$168 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 11, 2025 4:56 AM
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	97.3¢ / 100.0¢	$4.16 (1.2%)	$352 · 2	$356 · 3	$0	Apr 14, 2026 10:08 PM
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? WonYesCrypto	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$3.55 (1.3%)	$270 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 25, 2025 5:36 PM
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? WonNoPolitics	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3.36 (1.2%)	$277 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 1, 2025 10:01 PM
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025? WonNoMentions	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$3.04 (1.1%)	$273 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 28, 2025 11:10 PM
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? WonNoPolitics	93.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.8 (0.5%)	$336 · 2	$165 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:47 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 1-7? WonNoCrypto	99.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.72 (0.6%)	$281 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 9, 2025 6:25 AM
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 23? WonNoPolitics	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.62 (1.0%)	$161 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 24, 2025 12:37 PM
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30? WonYesPolitics	99.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.6 (0.6%)	$264 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 13, 2025 4:22 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? WonNoCrypto	98.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.52 (0.9%)	$166 · 4	$167 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 7:32 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.32 (0.8%)	$164 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 29, 2026 12:48 PM
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? WonNoPolitics	98.1¢ / 0.0¢	$1.24 (0.7%)	$173 · 1	$174 · 1	$0	Apr 11, 2026 12:29 AM
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? WonNoPolitics	91.7¢ / 92.6¢	$1.17 (0.3%)	$359 · 2	$360 · 4	$0	Apr 26, 2026 1:02 PM
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? WonNoMentions	99.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.08 (0.4%)	$268 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 23, 2025 1:15 PM
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? WonNoPolitics	99.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.01 (0.6%)	$167 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 16, 2026 8:43 AM
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? WonNoMentions	99.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.84 (0.3%)	$280 · 1	$281 · 1	$0	Dec 4, 2025 10:52 AM
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.84 (0.2%)	$499 · 9	$500 · 6	$0	May 1, 2026 12:56 PM
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? WonNoMentions	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.83 (0.5%)	$165 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 23, 2026 11:09 PM
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? WonNoMentions	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.81 (0.3%)	$268 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 20, 2025 4:10 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 13? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.8 (0.3%)	$266 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 14, 2025 9:58 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? WonNoCrypto	97.3¢ / 98.5¢	$0.73 (0.4%)	$179 · 1	$179 · 1	$0	Apr 15, 2026 10:22 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? WonYesTech	99.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.66 (0.4%)	$164 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 6:57 AM
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26? WonNoPolitics	99.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.65 (0.4%)	$163 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 28, 2025 4:05 PM
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? WonYesTech	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.55 (0.2%)	$276 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 30, 2025 10:34 PM

shape41 Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

April 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.17

Apr 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.17

Open-$90.5

High-$90.3

Low-$90.8

Close-$90.3

Open positions0

USD balance$173

3$1.24

Apr 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.24

Open-$90.3

High-$88.9

Low-$90.5

Close-$89.1

Open positions0

USD balance$174

4-$0.72

Apr 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.72

Open-$89.1

High-$88.9

Low-$90.9

Close-$89.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0.01

5$0.9

Apr 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.9

Open-$89.8

High-$88.9

Low-$91.2

Close-$88.9

Open positions0

USD balance$175

7$3.44

Apr 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.44

Open-$88.9

High-$85.5

Low-$89.8

Close-$85.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

8-$0.18

Apr 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.18

Open-$85.5

High-$85.5

Low-$87.8

Close-$85.6

Open positions0

USD balance$178

10-$0.18

Apr 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.18

Open-$85.6

High-$85.6

Low-$89.1

Close-$85.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0.01

11-$2.54

Apr 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.54

Open-$85.8

High-$85.5

Low-$91.1

Close-$88.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0.01

12$3.08

Apr 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.08

Open-$88.4

High-$83.8

Low-$90.2

Close-$85.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0.01

13$0.54

Apr 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.54

Open-$85.3

High-$84.6

Low-$85.3

Close-$84.7

Open positions0

USD balance$0

14$0.73

Apr 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.73

Open-$84.7

High-$83.6

Low-$86

Close-$84

Open positions1

USD balance$0

15$0.39

Apr 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.39

Open-$84

High-$83.6

Low-$84.4

Close-$83.6

Open positions1

USD balance$0.01

16-$0.2

Apr 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.2

Open-$83.6

High-$83.6

Low-$84

Close-$83.8

Open positions0

USD balance$180

18$0.01

Apr 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$83.8

High-$83.8

Low-$83.8

Close-$83.8

Open positions0

USD balance$0

19$0.59

Apr 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.59

Open-$83.8

High-$82.2

Low-$84

Close-$83.2

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20$0.39

Apr 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.39

Open-$83.2

High-$82.8

Low-$83.4

Close-$82.8

Open positions0

USD balance$181

21$0.01

Apr 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$82.8

High-$82.8

Low-$82.8

Close-$82.8

Open positions0

USD balance$0.01

26$0.01

Apr 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$82.8

High-$82.8

Low-$82.8

Close-$82.8

Open positions0

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D —7D —30D $14.1

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

95.3%

Profit Factor

0.35x

Avg Win

$1.12

Avg Loss

-$65.4

Total Wins

$45.9

Total Losses

-$131

Avg. Hold Time

4d 8h 32m 37s

Best Win

$7.38

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Worst Loss

-$115

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Period

Best Period

$9.99, Nov 25 – Dec 1

Worst Period

-$113, Dec 3 – Dec 9

Longest Streak

8d W / 5d L

Current Streak

5d W

Max Drawdown

-$122 (-626.6%)

Current DD

-$102 (-525.0%)

Max Runup

$19.8 (19.3%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.02(4)

shape41

Analytics

Analytics

shape41

shape41

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

shape41

Trader DNA

Trader DNA