
Volume
$5M
Txns
17,111
Traders
2,774
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 79%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 74%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 75%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | aenews2 | No / 0.1¢ | -111.00 | $0.11 | |
| 8mo | markscaroline | Yes / 99.9¢ | -111.00 | $111 | |
| 8mo | nonkenny90 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,159.72 | $1.16K | |
| 8mo | WinnieTheDog | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 8mo | kinginthecastle | No / 0.1¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.22 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +5.61 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | aenews2 | No / 0.1¢ | -13,387.33 | $13.4 | |
| 8mo | NotMasterFan | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 8mo | nonkenny90 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 8mo | nonkenny90 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,931.70 | $1.93K | |
| 8mo | Gucci777 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,931.70 | $1.93K | |
| 8mo | tja | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 8mo | nonkenny90 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 8mo | nonkenny90 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,500.00 | $2.5K | |
| 8mo | mlksoo7 | No / 0.1¢ | -2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 8mo | BabyGroot | No / 0.2¢ | -4,182.85 | $8.37 | |
| 8mo | StoicMule | Yes / 99.8¢ | -4,182.85 | $4.17K | |
| 8mo | kinginthecastle | No / 0.2¢ | -775.76 | $1.55 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | -5.61 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | BabyGroot | No / 0.2¢ | -1,718.63 | $3.44 | |
| 8mo | YouCanTrustMe | No / 0.2¢ | +2,500.00 | $5 | |
| 8mo | nonkenny90 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -74.58 | $74.5 | |
| 8mo | Chrix | No / 0.1¢ | -74.58 | $0.07 | |
| 8mo | trerira | Yes / 99.8¢ | -1,000.00 | $998 | |
| 8mo | kinginthecastle | No / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2 |
1–25