| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes 24.57 net shares | 64.6¢ / 4.7¢ | -$0 (-92.7%) | May 14, 2026 11:34 AM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -11.41 net shares | 29.1¢ / 29.0¢ | -$0 (-0.3%) | May 13, 2026 5:10 AM | |
 Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9.83 net shares | 48.2¢ / 92.0¢ | $0 (90.8%) | May 12, 2026 10:52 PM | |
 May 31, 2026 No 28.56 net shares | 63.2¢ / 78.3¢ | $0 (23.9%) | May 12, 2026 2:28 PM | |
 May 31 Yes -62.69 net shares | 51.4¢ / 20.0¢ | -$0.01 (-61.1%) | May 11, 2026 6:03 PM | |
 Vladimir Putin Yes 17.56 net shares | 78.8¢ / 26.0¢ | -$0 (-67.0%) | May 11, 2026 3:17 PM | |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes 0.01 net shares | 89.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (11.8%) | May 11, 2026 3:10 AM | |
 May 15 Yes 89.13 net shares | 7.3¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 10, 2026 6:35 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No 0.01 net shares | 81.9¢ / 0.1¢ | -$0.01 (-99.9%) | May 9, 2026 6:36 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 263.55 net shares | 8.2¢ / 11.9¢ | $0 (45.3%) | May 9, 2026 3:47 AM | |
 May 31 No 29.17 net shares | 48.5¢ / 71.0¢ | $0 (46.3%) | May 8, 2026 11:51 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 59.77 net shares | 58.6¢ / 29.0¢ | -$0 (-50.5%) | May 8, 2026 7:49 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes -145.85 net shares | 12.2¢ / 99.9¢ | $0.04 (718.0%) | May 8, 2026 7:27 PM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? Yes -48.12 net shares | 40.9¢ / 99.0¢ | $0.01 (142.3%) | May 8, 2026 7:00 PM | |
June 30, 2026 No 0.01 net shares | 56.5¢ / 56.2¢ | -$0 (-0.6%) | May 8, 2026 1:16 AM | |
 May 15 No -193.40 net shares | 12.1¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 8, 2026 12:06 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 54.89 net shares | 61.3¢ / 33.0¢ | -$0 (-46.1%) | May 7, 2026 9:34 PM | |
May 31, 2026 Yes 34.92 net shares | 15.1¢ / 20.0¢ | $0 (32.6%) | May 7, 2026 3:33 PM | |
 June 30 No 9.47 net shares | 74.6¢ / 84.0¢ | $0 (12.5%) | May 7, 2026 12:06 PM | |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No 1.72 net shares | 67.5¢ / 64.0¢ | -$0 (-5.2%) | May 7, 2026 6:28 AM | |
May 15 Yes 1.70 net shares | 88.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (13.5%) | May 7, 2026 1:23 AM | |
 No Meeting before May 11 No -0.03 net shares | 11.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 6, 2026 6:09 PM | |
June 30 Yes -0.10 net shares | 59.9¢ / 42.0¢ | -$0 (-29.9%) | May 5, 2026 11:04 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes 7.46 net shares | 15.0¢ / 11.0¢ | -$0 (-26.8%) | May 5, 2026 7:20 PM | |
 May 8 No 13.99 net shares | 67.3¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (48.5%) | May 5, 2026 4:41 PM |
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