0xD4D124c0B8CD6357FC2f694f5ADf2909aa5ea51C-176237… Polymarket Trader

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Avg trade size

					Merge
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? NoCulture 3.33 shares	30.0¢ / 6.5¢	-$0.78 (-78.5%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 12, 2026 2:53 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? WonNoTech	48.2¢ / 100.0¢	$13.4 (91.0%)	$14.8 · 2	$28.2 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:34 AM
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025? WonNoTech	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.6 (77.6%)	$15 · 2	$2.86 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:38 PM
Will Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings? WonNoFinance	43.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.28 (132.6%)	$7 · 2	$0	$0	Nov 11, 2025 6:12 AM
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? WonYesTech	11.5¢ / 0.0¢	$8.04 (50.4%)	$16 · 3	$24 · 3	$0	Dec 31, 2025 8:45 PM
Nothing Ever Happens: December WonYesPolitics	59.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.14 (69.5%)	$10.3 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:38 PM
Will Lilo & Stitch be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? WonYesCulture	1.2¢ / 0.0¢	$5.62 (562.5%)	$1 · 1	$6.62 · 1	$0	Dec 4, 2025 8:22 AM
Grok 4.20 released by January 15? WonNoTech	48.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.42 (108.3%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 23, 2026 3:43 AM
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition? WonNoTech	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.06 (81.8%)	$6.18 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 4, 2025 11:35 AM
US fertility rate up in Q3 2025? WonNoCulture	59.1¢ / 100.0¢	$4.84 (69.2%)	$7 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 24, 2026 1:36 AM
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings? WonYesFinance	54.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.26 (85.2%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 11, 2025 6:13 AM
Will Oklo (OKLO) beat quarterly earnings? WonNoFinance	60.5¢ / 100.0¢	$4.08 (65.4%)	$6.24 · 3	$0	$0	Nov 12, 2025 7:05 AM
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? WonYesFinance	44.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.82 (127.3%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 2, 2025 3:48 AM
Will Bill Ackman say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the X Space event on November 18? WonNoMentions	58.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.62 (72.4%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 19, 2025 9:23 PM
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year? WonYesTech	69.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.25 (44.9%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 20, 2025 3:16 PM
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22? WonYesCulture	70.2¢ / 100.0¢	$2.06 (42.5%)	$4.85 · 2	$0	$0	Nov 18, 2025 7:25 PM
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? WonNoCulture	34.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.94 (194.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 4, 2025 11:35 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: November WonYesPolitics	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.81 (35.1%)	$5.14 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 2, 2025 3:48 AM
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? WonYesFinance	65.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.54 (15.4%)	$10 · 1	$11.5 · 1	$0	Dec 19, 2025 3:21 PM
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31? WonNoCulture	76.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.95 (31.6%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:38 PM
Will Bill Ackman say "Antisemitism" during the X Space event on November 18? WonNoMentions	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.9 (29.9%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 19, 2025 9:23 PM
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31? WonYesTech	72.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.78 (38.9%)	$2 · 2	$0	$0	Nov 20, 2025 3:16 PM
Will Bill Ackman say "Pulte" during the X Space event on November 18? WonYesMentions	82.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.66 (22.0%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 19, 2025 9:23 PM
Will Glen Powell say "Texas" during Saturday Night Live on November 15? WonYesMentions	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.45 (14.9%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 16, 2025 11:06 AM
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? WonYesTech	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.25 (25.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:38 PM
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings? WonYesFinance	85.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.18 (17.6%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 7, 2025 3:21 AM

0xD4D124c0B8CD6357FC2f694f5ADf2909aa5ea51C-176237… Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

June 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

2$0.03

Jun 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open-$1.04

High-$1

Low-$1.04

Close-$1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

3-$0.17

Jun 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.17

Open-$1

High-$1

Low-$1.17

Close-$1.17

Open positions1

USD balance$0

4$0.28

Jun 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.28

Open-$1.17

High-$0.89

Low-$1.17

Close-$0.89

Open positions1

USD balance$0

5-$0.24

Jun 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.24

Open-$0.89

High-$0.89

Low-$1.17

Close-$1.14

Open positions1

USD balance$0

6$0.33

Jun 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.33

Open-$1.14

High-$0.8

Low-$1.14

Close-$0.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0

8$0

Jun 8, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$0.8

High-$0.8

Low-$1.13

Close-$0.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0

9-$0.25

Jun 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.25

Open-$0.8

High-$0.8

Low-$1.05

Close-$1.05

Open positions1

USD balance$0

10$0.12

Jun 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.12

Open-$1.05

High-$0.94

Low-$1.12

Close-$0.94

Open positions1

USD balance$0

11$0.13

Jun 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.13

Open-$0.94

High-$0.81

Low-$1.05

Close-$0.81

Open positions1

USD balance$0

12-$0.25

Jun 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.25

Open-$0.81

High-$0.81

Low-$1.05

Close-$1.05

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $07D $0.0830D -$0.45

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

88.2%

Profit Factor

35.19x

Avg Win

$3.34

Avg Loss

-$0.71

Total Wins

$100

Total Losses

-$2.85

Avg. Hold Time

20d 19h 35m 46s

Best Win

$13.4

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Worst Loss

-$14.3

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Period

Best Period

$31.2, Nov 7 – Nov 13

Worst Period

-$48.2, Nov 17 – Nov 23

Longest Streak

6d W / 6d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$84.4 (-162.6%)

Current DD

-$53 (-102.0%)

Max Runup

$52.1 (33346.4%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

0xD4D124c0B8CD6357FC2f694f5ADf2909aa5ea51C-1762371393188

Analytics

Analytics

0xD4D124c0B8CD6357FC2f694f5ADf2909aa5ea51C-1762371393188

0xD4D124c0B8CD6357FC2f694f5ADf2909aa5ea51C-1762371393188

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

0xD4D124c0B8CD6357FC2f694f5ADf2909aa5ea51C-1762371393188

Trader DNA

Trader DNA