Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
ResolvedVolume
$709K
Txns
6,222
Traders
748
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
Volume
$709K
Txns
6,222
Traders
748
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches an Arena Score of 1500+ by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the “Arena Score” section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at https://lmarena.ai/. If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | rmax | No / 99.9¢ | -318.00 | $318 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +318.00 | $318 | |
| 5mo | Makise.Kurisu | No / 99.8¢ | +5.55 | $5.54 | |
| 5mo | 0x1206...afeaee | No / 99.8¢ | -5.55 | $5.54 | |
| 5mo | .yumeko | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | zb8 | No / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 5mo | p1erekup | No / 99.8¢ | -8.26 | $8.24 | |
| 5mo | Makise.Kurisu | No / 99.8¢ | +8.26 | $8.24 | |
| 5mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.34 | $0 | |
| 5mo | Makise.Kurisu | No / 99.9¢ | +4.34 | $4.34 | |
| 5mo | Elias.Thornwell | No / 99.9¢ | +5.66 | $5.65 | |
| 5mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.66 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | orin40 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -66.65 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | calm.rabbit | No / 99.7¢ | -66.65 | $66.5 | |
| 5mo | R23poyrffsddfdsfd43554 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -112.00 | $0.22 | |
| 5mo | Jinz0 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,704.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | eNakeVets | Yes / 0.3¢ | -1,592.00 | $4.78 | |
| 5mo | Nadmi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | HE110W0R1D | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | daroghi | No / 99.8¢ | -30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 5mo | HE110W0R1D | Yes / 0.2¢ | -30.00 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | daroghi | No / 99.1¢ | +30.00 | $29.7 | |
| 5mo | 9... | Yes / 0.8¢ | -45.00 | $0.36 | |
| 5mo | eNakeVets | Yes / 1.0¢ | -125.99 | $1.26 | |
| 5mo | 9... | Yes / 0.9¢ | -130.49 | $1.17 |
1–25