| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No 1,337.64 net shares | 90.3¢ / 0.1¢ | -$1.14K (-99.9%) | Apr 13, 2026 2:23 PM | |
 Viktor Orbán out in 2026? Yes 18.86 net shares | 69.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.85 (44.9%) | Mar 29, 2026 7:31 AM | |
 Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? Yes 41.90 net shares | 16.7¢ / 5.1¢ | -$4.86 (-69.5%) | Mar 20, 2026 9:00 AM | |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No 26.32 net shares | 76.0¢ / 85.0¢ | $2.37 (11.9%) | Mar 20, 2026 9:00 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No 14.93 net shares | 67.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $4.91 (49.1%) | Mar 16, 2026 8:15 AM | |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Yes 62.50 net shares | 1.6¢ / 2.3¢ | $0.44 (43.7%) | Mar 14, 2026 6:32 AM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 9.52 net shares | 10.5¢ / 6.5¢ | -$0.38 (-38.1%) | Mar 14, 2026 6:30 AM | |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes 27.78 net shares | 3.6¢ / 4.9¢ | $0.36 (36.1%) | Mar 7, 2026 3:05 AM | |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes 37.50 net shares | 16.0¢ / 8.0¢ | -$3 (-50.0%) | Mar 7, 2026 3:04 AM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No 16.13 net shares | 62.0¢ / 1.0¢ | -$9.84 (-98.4%) | Mar 7, 2026 1:29 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 38.23 net shares | 65.4¢ / 97.9¢ | $30.7 (49.7%) | Mar 7, 2026 1:29 AM | |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 4.35 net shares | 23.0¢ / 11.0¢ | -$0.52 (-52.2%) | Mar 7, 2026 1:28 AM | |
 December 31 Yes 3.13 net shares | 32.0¢ / 14.0¢ | -$0.56 (-56.3%) | Mar 7, 2026 1:28 AM | |
 Delcy Rodríguez Yes 35.09 net shares | 57.0¢ / 15.0¢ | -$7.37 (-73.7%) | Mar 7, 2026 1:25 AM | |
 Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 27.78 net shares | 18.0¢ / 10.0¢ | -$2.22 (-44.4%) | Mar 4, 2026 4:53 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 14.49 net shares | 69.0¢ / 84.0¢ | $2.17 (21.7%) | Mar 4, 2026 4:51 PM | |
— / 0.0¢ | $0 | — | ||
 No change Yes | — / 99.3¢ | $0 | — | |
 ↓ $60 No | — / 98.4¢ | $0 | — |
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