
Volume
$2M
Txns
11,503
Traders
1,642
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | zeusMali | No / 99.9¢ | -11.23 | $11.2 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -11.23 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -253.16 | $0.25 | |
| 4mo | 0xfc6dFE0cE7f3903dD9d4Fa56cA20449052799f36-1767733203606 | No / 99.9¢ | -253.16 | $253 | |
| 4mo | Reapp | No / 99.9¢ | -5.11 | $5.1 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.11 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0x266CcBda6CFEb16C68D89F6d1ca9b5056824543f-1764612851986 | No / 99.9¢ | -6.41 | $6.4 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6.41 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | eI0zwvzk | No / 99.9¢ | -252.95 | $253 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -252.95 | $0.25 | |
| 4mo | 0x1175d6189F375f3991565b8A04f1616807734D80-1772695525715 | No / 99.9¢ | -38.43 | $38.4 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -38.43 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.40 | $0 | |
| 4mo | Mmiikka | No / 99.9¢ | -3.40 | $3.4 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.17 | $0 | |
| 4mo | Rav05 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.17 | $1.17 | |
| 4mo | awei02 | No / 99.9¢ | -32.74 | $32.7 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -32.74 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -103.10 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | Unmitigated-Wisdom | No / 99.9¢ | -103.10 | $103 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | TotallyNotTrump | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -15.13 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | 0x965c...bcbbaa | No / 99.9¢ | -15.13 | $15.1 | |
| 4mo | CrystalWarden | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6.66 | $0.01 |
1–25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 100%$0volume