| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5? NoWeather 4.99 shares | 44.0¢ / 34.0¢ | -$0.5 (-22.7%) | $2.19 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 11:53 AM | |
 Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? YesSports 83.19 shares | 2.1¢ / 0.3¢ | -$1.5 (-85.7%) | $1.75 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 11:46 AM | |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? NoPolitics 0.10 shares | 64.5¢ / 98.1¢ | $0.63 (2.5%) | $25.8 · 3 | $26.3 · 23 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 11:35 AM | |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 5? YesWeather 62.00 shares | 49.2¢ / 43.0¢ | -$4.5 (-7.6%) | $59 · 3 | $27.8 · 1 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 8:40 AM | |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 39.99 shares | 8.7¢ / 10.3¢ | $0.64 (18.4%) | $3.48 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 7:59 AM | |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? YesEconomics 195.00 shares | 25.1¢ / 9.4¢ | -$30.6 (-61.0%) | $50.1 · 4 | $1.2 · 1 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 5:56 AM | |
 Starmer out by June 25, 2026? YesRedeemable 200.00 shares | 85.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $28.5 (16.6%) | $172 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 22, 2026 10:38 AM | |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? YesTech 140.00 shares | 35.4¢ / 8.7¢ | -$37.5 (-75.5%) | $49.6 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 10:07 AM | |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.08 shares | 50.4¢ / 100.0¢ | -$70.5 (-99.9%) | $70.6 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 12:19 AM |
