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![]() Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… NoPolitics 100.00 shares | 29.4¢ / 25.1¢ | -$4.32 (-14.7%) | $28.4 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:25 AM | |
![]() Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27? YesPolitics 745.11 shares | 2.8¢ / 1.0¢ | -$13.8 (-64.9%) | $21.2 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:21 AM | |
![]() Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 1.5¢ / 0.4¢ | -$1.1 (-73.3%) | $1.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:19 AM | |
![]() Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? YesPolitics 3.48 shares | 16.7¢ / 81.7¢ | $701 (279.5%) | $237 · 5 | $949 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:16 AM | |
![]() Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? NoPolitics 100.00 shares | 19.0¢ / 2.8¢ | -$16.2 (-85.3%) | $19 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:11 AM | |
![]() Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? NoTech 100.00 shares | 70.9¢ / 84.9¢ | -$26.9 (-13.1%) | $202 · 3 | $94 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:03 AM | |
![]() Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 400.00 shares | 48.3¢ / 2.3¢ | -$64 (-14.7%) | $434 · 4 | $361 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:03 AM | |
![]() Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 1,000.00 shares | 1.0¢ / 0.9¢ | -$1.4 (-13.4%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:59 AM | |
![]() Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? YesPolitics 800.00 shares | 9.3¢ / 9.0¢ | -$2.62 (-3.5%) | $72 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:50 AM | |
![]() Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? NoPolitics 100.00 shares | 16.7¢ / 23.0¢ | $58.3 (87.4%) | $64 · 1 | $102 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:38 AM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 17.0¢ / 9.0¢ | -$18 (-17.6%) | $102 · 1 | $75 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:35 AM | |
![]() Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by Sept… YesPolitics 1,700.00 shares | 0.2¢ / 0.6¢ | $6.8 (200.0%) | $3.4 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:16 AM | |
![]() Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? YesPolitics 2,000.00 shares | 1.8¢ / 0.4¢ | -$27.7 (-77.6%) | $35.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:01 AM | |
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? YesPolitics 1,371.76 shares | 1.2¢ / 0.6¢ | -$7.57 (-47.9%) | $15.8 · 8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:01 AM | |
![]() Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July? YesPolitics 200.00 shares | 5.0¢ / 1.6¢ | -$6.8 (-68.0%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:42 PM | |
![]() Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 20… YesTech 100.00 shares | 90.1¢ / 2.1¢ | -$88 (-97.7%) | $89.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:40 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 499.99 shares | 7.0¢ / 9.0¢ | $30.1 (43.1%) | $70 · 1 | $55.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:32 PM | |
![]() Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? NoTech 1,503.41 shares | 9.5¢ / 2.1¢ | -$110 (-70.8%) | $150 · 1 | $14.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:00 PM | |
![]() Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? YesPolitics 2,100.00 shares | 4.3¢ / 2.7¢ | -$45.4 (-34.4%) | $132 · 2 | $30.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:21 PM | |
![]() Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? YesPolitics 1,560.35 shares | 7.4¢ / 1.2¢ | -$65.2 (-44.3%) | $143 · 13 | $63.3 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:00 PM | |
![]() Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? YesPolitics 15.00 shares | 7.3¢ / 2.7¢ | -$0.68 (-62.8%) | $1.05 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 9:57 PM | |
![]() Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? NoPolitics 2,522.41 shares | 7.4¢ / 3.1¢ | -$107 (-57.9%) | $179 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 9:57 PM | |
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 403.00 shares | 18.4¢ / 20.0¢ | $6.34 (8.5%) | $74.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 9:41 PM | |
![]() Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard deb… NoTech 333.80 shares | 11.0¢ / 10.8¢ | -$0.6 (-1.6%) | $35.6 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 8:47 PM | |
![]() Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? NoFinance 1,867.59 shares | 15.5¢ / 50.0¢ | $1.19K (157.9%) | $708 · 15 | $1.01K · 6 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 7:50 PM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.4K (648.7%) | $1.6K · 17 | $12K · 9 | $0 | Jun 4, 2025 2:10 AM | ||
![]() US military action against Iran before July? WonYesPolitics | 32.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.52K (98.4%) | $3.58K · 13 | $7.1K · 2 | $0 | Jun 22, 2025 3:06 AM | |
18.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.67K (265.6%) | $1.01K · 19 | $3.68K · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:30 AM | ||
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? WonYesPolitics | 31.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.51K (44.0%) | $5.7K · 17 | $8.21K · 3 | $0 | Jun 1, 2025 7:57 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31? WonNoPolitics | 30.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.78K (117.2%) | $1.52K · 7 | $3.3K · 1 | $0 | Sep 1, 2025 6:09 AM | |
![]() Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June? WonYesPolitics | 4.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.49K (555.3%) | $269 · 8 | $1.76K · 2 | $0 | Jun 3, 2025 9:30 AM | |
16.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.35K (110.7%) | $1.22K · 25 | $2.57K · 10 | $0 | Sep 10, 2025 1:18 PM | ||
![]() Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? WonYesPolitics | 21.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.24K (168.3%) | $736 · 10 | $474 · 2 | $0 | Jun 2, 2025 9:10 AM | |
![]() Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? WonNoPolitics | 22.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.2K (60.1%) | $1.99K · 8 | $3.19K · 11 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 12:27 AM | |
![]() North Korea missile launch by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 13.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.1K (632.2%) | $174 · 16 | $1.27K · 2 | $0 | Dec 29, 2025 9:05 PM | |
![]() Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4? WonNoMentions | 25.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.04K (287.3%) | $361 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jul 4, 2025 5:53 PM | |
![]() Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17? WonYesCrypto | 37.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.03K (146.1%) | $703 · 1 | $1.73K · 11 | $0 | Jan 17, 2025 7:14 PM | |
![]() Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 46.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.02K (32.3%) | $3.15K · 6 | $4.17K · 4 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 7:17 AM | |
![]() 2025 September second hottest on record? WonYesWeather | 19.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.01K (152.4%) | $664 · 6 | $1.67K · 7 | $0 | Nov 14, 2025 7:40 PM | |
![]() Houthi strike on Israel before August? WonNoPolitics | 69.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $976 (43.3%) | $2.26K · 11 | $0 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 7:18 AM | |
![]() Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10? WonNoCrypto | 47.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $961 (103.4%) | $930 · 2 | $1.89K · 13 | $0 | Jan 10, 2025 7:04 PM | |
26.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $927 (70.4%) | $1.32K · 3 | $2.24K · 4 | $0 | Jun 28, 2025 4:53 AM | ||
23.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $918 (309.2%) | $297 · 4 | $533 · 4 | $0 | May 1, 2026 6:47 AM | ||
![]() Will Sentient launch a token in 2025? WonNoCrypto | 9.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $915 (757.9%) | $121 · 6 | $1.04K · 5 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:49 AM | |
5.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $872 (1835.8%) | $47.5 · 7 | $69.5 · 1 | $0 | Dec 5, 2025 10:06 PM | ||
20.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $857 (103.5%) | $828 · 8 | $1.69K · 5 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 6:29 AM | ||
![]() Another Houthi strike on Israel before July? WonNoPolitics | 71.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $813 (40.3%) | $2.02K · 7 | $0 | $0 | Jul 2, 2025 7:14 AM | |
![]() Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31? WonYesPolitics | 6.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $807 (105.3%) | $766 · 12 | $1.57K · 14 | $0 | Sep 10, 2025 1:18 PM | |
![]() Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025? WonYesPolitics | 24.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $797 (151.3%) | $527 · 12 | $1.32K · 6 | $0 | Apr 1, 2025 11:04 AM | |
![]() Israel military action against Iran by Friday? WonYesPolitics | 18.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $778 (159.8%) | $487 · 4 | $215 · 5 | $0 | Jun 13, 2025 7:05 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
1732
Won
722
Lost
907
Win Rate
44.3%
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$142
Avg Loss
-$106
Total Wins
$103K
Total Losses
-$96K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield