
Volume
$503K
Txns
6,193
Traders
736
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between May 23, 10:30 AM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control. Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of May 12, 2025. This includes the Israeli controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 82%$28.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 53%$26.9Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 92%$4.27Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$20.7Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | 48MGX75VLQ | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | 48MGX75VLQ | No / 99.9¢ | -398.98 | $399 | |
| 11mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +398.98 | $399 | |
| 11mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +3,000.00 | $3K | |
| 11mo | orenc | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 11mo | ill-pajamas | No / 99.9¢ | -52.52 | $52.5 | |
| 11mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +52.52 | $52.5 | |
| 11mo | Batub | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 11mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +11.23 | $11.2 | |
| 11mo | Momo888777 | No / 99.9¢ | -11.23 | $11.2 | |
| 11mo | vbm | No / 99.9¢ | -51.39 | $51.3 | |
| 11mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +51.39 | $51.3 | |
| 11mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 11mo | EEEeee | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 11mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 11mo | Slimshady11 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 11mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +1,660.84 | $1.66K | |
| 11mo | Salvador-dali | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 11mo | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +339.16 | $339 | |
| 11mo | Porx | No / 99.9¢ | -449.22 | $449 | |
| 11mo | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +449.22 | $449 | |
| 11mo | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 11mo | UranusProbe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25