| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3.48 net shares | 66.5¢ / 82.0¢ | $0.2 (23.3%) | May 23, 2026 3:12 AM | |
 Donald Trump No 3.29 net shares | 98.0¢ / 97.9¢ | -$0 (-0.1%) | May 22, 2026 6:10 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 5.71 net shares | 33.0¢ / 47.0¢ | $0.01 (42.4%) | May 20, 2026 10:48 PM | |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1.20 net shares | 90.8¢ / 94.8¢ | $0 (4.4%) | May 20, 2026 11:29 AM | |
 May 21 No -2.74 net shares | — / 100.0¢ | $2.43 | May 20, 2026 8:41 AM | |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No -0.86 net shares | 92.5¢ / 98.2¢ | $0 (6.2%) | May 20, 2026 7:40 AM | |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? Yes 0.61 net shares | 95.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0.02 (5.2%) | May 14, 2026 6:00 PM | |
 June 30 No 4.84 net shares | 90.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | May 13, 2026 10:28 PM | |
 December 31 No 5.95 net shares | 37.0¢ / 24.0¢ | -$0.09 (-35.1%) | May 12, 2026 7:53 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 3.01 net shares | 33.7¢ / 21.0¢ | -$0 (-37.6%) | May 9, 2026 3:31 AM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No 3.76 net shares | 58.0¢ / 1.0¢ | -$1.07 (-98.3%) | May 8, 2026 7:25 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No 3.32 net shares | 73.6¢ / 0.1¢ | -$1.22 (-99.9%) | May 8, 2026 7:16 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -2.74 net shares | 90.6¢ / 96.7¢ | $0 (6.7%) | May 7, 2026 7:46 AM | |
April 30 Yes 0.32 net shares | 27.3¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 22, 2026 7:27 PM | |
 April 21 No 0.01 net shares | 96.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (4.1%) | Apr 21, 2026 8:45 PM | |
 April 30 Yes -1.09 net shares | 96.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (4.2%) | Apr 21, 2026 6:00 PM | |
 June 30 Yes -2.43 net shares | 89.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (12.4%) | Apr 20, 2026 11:01 PM | |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? No 0.01 net shares | 92.0¢ / 99.6¢ | $0 (8.3%) | Apr 19, 2026 5:01 PM | |
 María Corina Machado No 2.18 net shares | 93.0¢ / 94.0¢ | $0.01 (1.1%) | Apr 19, 2026 8:23 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? No 0.00 net shares | 93.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (7.4%) | Apr 12, 2026 7:45 AM | |
 J.D. Vance Yes 0.01 net shares | 39.1¢ / 34.7¢ | -$0 (-11.3%) | Apr 12, 2026 1:45 AM | |
 April 30, 2026 No 0.00 net shares | 97.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (3.0%) | Mar 25, 2026 6:27 PM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 0.00 net shares | 61.0¢ / 86.0¢ | $0 (41.0%) | Mar 20, 2026 6:43 AM | |
 Brad Ledford No 4.00 net shares | 99.9¢ / 99.7¢ | -$0 (-0.2%) | Feb 27, 2026 1:59 PM | |
 Michelle Obama No 0.01 net shares | 99.3¢ / 99.1¢ | -$0 (-0.2%) | Feb 20, 2026 2:19 PM |
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