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| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Iran closes its airspace by May 27? WonNoPolitics | 3.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.61K (1116.8%) | $502 · 9 | $6.11K · 12 | $0 | May 31, 2026 5:07 AM | |
![]() JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? WonYesPolitics | 3.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $4.1K (996.2%) | $412 · 15 | $4.51K · 31 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 8:49 AM | |
![]() Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? WonNoPolitics | 33.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.01K (76.0%) | $5.28K · 50 | $7.33K · 49 | $0 | Dec 1, 2025 9:37 AM | |
![]() Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? WonYesPolitics | 22.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.18K (101.2%) | $3.14K · 47 | $6.32K · 23 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 12:34 AM | |
![]() Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 14.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.89K (386.7%) | $748 · 2 | $3.35K · 34 | $288 | Jun 7, 2026 3:29 AM | |
![]() Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? WonYesPolitics | 15.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.96K (62.9%) | $3.12K · 63 | $4.78K · 29 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 5:10 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 32.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.86K (54.2%) | $3.43K · 56 | $5.13K · 87 | $150 | Apr 22, 2026 7:48 AM | |
![]() Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? WonYesPolitics | 42.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.66K (71.0%) | $2.33K · 61 | $3.99K · 26 | $0 | Dec 21, 2024 12:32 AM | |
18.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.59K (317.2%) | $503 · 4 | $2.1K · 3 | $0 | May 12, 2026 3:27 PM | ||
![]() Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? WonNoPolitics | 39.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.58K (50.0%) | $3.16K · 80 | $4.74K · 78 | $0 | Feb 4, 2026 9:56 AM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 18.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.46K (42.6%) | $3.43K · 68 | $4.9K · 35 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 12:20 PM | |
![]() Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? WonYesPolitics | 15.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.42K (305.1%) | $465 · 28 | $1.88K · 32 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 6:21 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30? WonYesPolitics | 17.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.32K (305.0%) | $433 · 6 | $1.75K · 5 | $0 | Sep 22, 2025 5:42 PM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday? WonYesPolitics | 18.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.31K (280.6%) | $469 · 14 | $1.78K · 12 | $0 | Feb 4, 2026 8:41 PM | |
![]() Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 24.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.27K (155.6%) | $819 · 56 | $2.09K · 53 | $0 | Apr 21, 2026 6:07 PM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? WonYesPolitics | 19.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.22K (120.7%) | $1.01K · 16 | $2.23K · 9 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 2:40 AM | |
![]() US strike on Syria by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 12.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.18K (274.4%) | $431 · 20 | $1.61K · 11 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:56 PM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by June 15? WonNoPolitics | 5.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.14K (465.8%) | $245 · 4 | $1.39K · 5 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 12:35 AM | |
4.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.11K (122.5%) | $906 · 23 | $2.02K · 32 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 6:40 AM | ||
13.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.07K (32.1%) | $3.32K · 60 | $3.79K · 75 | $600 | Mar 8, 2026 11:46 PM | ||
![]() Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August? WonYesPolitics | 49.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.05K (36.6%) | $2.88K · 54 | $3.93K · 39 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 3:13 PM | |
![]() US strike on Syria by December 19? WonYesPolitics | 18.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.05K (411.3%) | $256 · 6 | $1.31K · 3 | $0 | Dec 20, 2025 3:58 AM | |
![]() Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30? WonYesPolitics | 32.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.03K (33.5%) | $3.06K · 32 | $4.09K · 32 | $0 | Aug 15, 2025 9:14 PM | |
![]() Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass? WonYesPolitics | 19.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $996 (185.2%) | $538 · 11 | $1.53K · 13 | $0 | Sep 15, 2025 1:58 AM | |
![]() Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 21.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $953 (132.0%) | $722 · 31 | $1.67K · 11 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 9:48 PM |
1–25
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? YesPolitics 2,399.99 shares | 30.1¢ / 36.6¢ | $370 (32.3%) | $1.14K · 43 | $636 · 6 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 345.42 shares | 83.3¢ / 90.9¢ | $62.8 (7.6%) | $821 · 10 | $570 · 2 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:29 PM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by August 31? NoPolitics 431.01 shares | 65.7¢ / 69.0¢ | $16.3 (2.5%) | $657 · 5 | $376 · 2 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:27 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 300.00 shares | 47.0¢ / 55.0¢ | $24 (17.0%) | $141 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:26 PM | |
![]() US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? NoPolitics 238.21 shares | 42.8¢ / 44.6¢ | $146 (19.1%) | $767 · 22 | $507 · 18 | $300 | Jul 28, 2026 11:26 PM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by July 31? NoPolitics 300.01 shares | 74.5¢ / 93.6¢ | $233 (12.0%) | $1.94K · 17 | $1.89K · 31 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:22 PM | |
![]() Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 84.0¢ / 84.6¢ | $0.57 (0.7%) | $84 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:19 PM | |
![]() U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? NoPolitics 113.99 shares | 69.9¢ / 71.9¢ | $2.23 (2.8%) | $79.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:18 PM | |
![]() Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? YesPolitics 546.61 shares | 20.6¢ / 1.7¢ | -$94.7 (-28.5%) | $333 · 4 | $229 · 4 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:12 PM | |
![]() Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? NoCrypto 2,100.02 shares | 34.1¢ / 49.0¢ | $728 (36.5%) | $2K · 47 | $1.7K · 19 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:10 PM | |
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 140.45 shares | 94.7¢ / 95.8¢ | $6.37 (1.2%) | $531 · 2 | $403 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:09 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? YesPolitics 999.98 shares | 22.9¢ / 22.0¢ | $4 (1.3%) | $320 · 15 | $104 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:08 PM | |
![]() NATO downs another Russian drone by July 31? NoPolitics 447.51 shares | 79.5¢ / 79.0¢ | -$2.38 (-0.7%) | $356 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:07 PM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoPolitics 2,100.01 shares | 63.3¢ / 76.0¢ | $821 (12.1%) | $6.77K · 67 | $5.99K · 54 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:02 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 518.12 shares | 52.1¢ / 97.8¢ | $222 (16.7%) | $1.34K · 6 | $1.05K · 11 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:58 PM | |
![]() Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 202… YesPolitics 518.15 shares | 18.5¢ / 28.0¢ | $49 (51.1%) | $95.9 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:56 PM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 750.00 shares | 14.6¢ / 7.0¢ | -$8.5 (-3.6%) | $234 · 11 | $173 · 6 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:53 PM | |
![]() Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? YesPolitics 679.98 shares | 24.0¢ / 22.0¢ | -$13.6 (-8.3%) | $163 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:49 PM | |
![]() Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? NoPolitics 95.98 shares | 98.0¢ / 95.7¢ | -$2.21 (-2.4%) | $94 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:48 PM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? NoPolitics 100.00 shares | 85.0¢ / 82.0¢ | -$3 (-3.5%) | $85 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:45 PM | |
![]() Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 90.00 shares | 94.6¢ / 97.7¢ | $5.19 (2.7%) | $189 · 1 | $106 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:37 PM | |
![]() Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 170.67 shares | 92.9¢ / 93.0¢ | $0.25 (0.2%) | $158 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:36 PM | |
![]() Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 441.46 shares | 53.5¢ / 75.0¢ | $99.6 (40.4%) | $247 · 3 | $15.2 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:35 PM | |
![]() Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? YesPolitics 1,782.11 shares | 29.2¢ / 9.0¢ | -$433 (-16.8%) | $2.57K · 97 | $1.98K · 51 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:33 PM | |
![]() Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 2,000.00 shares | 88.4¢ / 91.0¢ | $203 (1.4%) | $14.5K · 61 | $12.9K · 15 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:33 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
2364
Won
1532
Lost
660
Win Rate
69.9%
Profit Factor
3.04x
Avg Win
$118
Avg Loss
-$90
Total Wins
$181K
Total Losses
-$59.4K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
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Yield