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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 58.82 shares | 1.7¢ / 0.9¢ | -$0.49 (-49.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 6:26 PM | |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 20.00 shares | 5.0¢ / 3.0¢ | -$0.4 (-40.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 9:16 AM | |
 US recession in 2025? NoEconomicsRedeemable 3.03 shares | 33.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.03 (203.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:24 AM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? WonYesPolitics | 53.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $243 (88.4%) | $275 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Nov 15, 2024 4:14 PM | |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? WonYesPolitics | 30.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $96.5 (125.8%) | $76.7 · 3 | $123 · 4 | $0 | Mar 26, 2025 7:09 PM | |
 Will Trump use a recess appointment for Matt Gaetz? WonNoPolitics | 50.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $60 (48.0%) | $125 | $185 · 1 | $0 | Feb 5, 2025 3:53 AM | |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? WonDownCrypto | 42.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $17.3 (136.2%) | $12.7 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Apr 7, 2025 4:40 PM | |
 Ethereum Up or Down on April 5? WonDownCrypto | 46.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.4 (117.4%) | $4.6 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 7, 2025 4:42 PM | |
 No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics | 35.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.75 (135.7%) | $3.5 · 1 | $8.25 · 2 | $0 | Jun 18, 2025 9:20 PM | |
10.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.59 (71.9%) | $4.99 · 2 | $8.58 · 4 | $0 | Jul 4, 2025 2:52 AM | ||
69.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.52 (44.6%) | $7.89 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 17, 2025 7:16 AM | ||
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics | 60.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.17 (31.7%) | $10 · 1 | $13.2 · 1 | $0 | May 7, 2025 9:18 PM | |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%? WonYesEconomics | 49.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.06 (104.1%) | $2.94 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Sep 17, 2025 11:55 PM | |
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13? WonDownCrypto | 46.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.7 (117.4%) | $2.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 14, 2025 4:50 PM | |
 Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking? WonNoCulture | 47.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.68 (89.4%) | $3 · 1 | $5.68 · 1 | $0 | Jul 2, 2025 4:54 PM | |
14.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.64 (132.1%) | $2 · 1 | $4.64 · 2 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:25 AM | ||
 Will Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General? WonYesPolitics | 49.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.54 (83.1%) | $0.62 · 1 | $5.6 · 1 | $0 | Feb 5, 2025 4:52 AM | |
 Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025? WonNoEconomics | 33.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.03 (203.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Sep 17, 2025 11:55 PM | |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? WonYesPolitics | 34.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.9 (190.3%) | $1 · 1 | $2.9 · 1 | $0 | Oct 21, 2025 2:24 PM | |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May? WonYesPolitics | 71.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.45 (40.7%) | $3.55 · 1 | $5 · 1 | $0 | May 4, 2025 1:11 AM | |
16.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.41 (40.2%) | $3.5 · 2 | $4.91 · 4 | $0 | Jul 5, 2025 12:28 AM | ||
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? WonUpCrypto | 45.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.4 (10.3%) | $13.6 · 3 | $0 | $15 | Apr 8, 2025 6:46 PM | |
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? WonDownCrypto | 45.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.3 (9.5%) | $13.7 · 3 | $0 | $15 | Apr 8, 2025 6:46 PM | |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1? WonNoPolitics | 77.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.19 (29.6%) | $4 · 1 | $5.18 · 2 | $0 | Jun 2, 2025 6:06 AM | |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? WonYesPolitics | 39.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.18 (118.0%) | $1 · 1 | $2.18 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 12:27 AM | |
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025? WonNoEconomics | 47.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.08 (108.3%) | $1 · 1 | $2.08 · 1 | $0 | Dec 23, 2025 3:36 PM | |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 41.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1 (24.4%) | $4.1 · 2 | $5.1 · 2 | $0 | Jan 13, 2026 4:08 PM | |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,700 September 15-21? WonNoCrypto | 51.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.96 (96.1%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Oct 11, 2025 5:31 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
99
Won
41
Lost
42
Win Rate
49.4%
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$9.81
Avg Loss
-$13.8
Total Wins
$402
Total Losses
-$579
Avg. Hold Time
Best Win
—Worst Loss
—Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
