
Volume
$987K
Txns
6,174
Traders
1,019
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 30, 2025
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP 'Advance Estimate' for Q2 2025, scheduled for release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on July 30, 2025, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered."
Trades
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026…
Yes 53%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 m…
No 55%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026…
No 99%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026…
No 98%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 53%$0volume