| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? OpenAI 103.90 net shares | 17.0¢ / 26.0¢ | $0 (52.9%) | Jun 3, 2026 5:34 AM | |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes 500.00 net shares | 9.0¢ / 10.0¢ | $1 (11.1%) | May 25, 2026 3:31 AM | |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 25.00 net shares | 90.5¢ / 96.3¢ | $3.19 (6.4%) | May 19, 2026 8:01 PM | |
 June 30 Yes -0.39 net shares | 75.6¢ / 92.0¢ | $0 (21.7%) | May 12, 2026 4:20 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 0.01 net shares | 53.0¢ / 80.0¢ | $0 (50.9%) | May 12, 2026 3:06 AM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes 60.00 net shares | 6.0¢ / 4.0¢ | -$0.6 (-33.3%) | May 11, 2026 2:18 AM | |
 May 15 No 62.93 net shares | 95.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (5.1%) | May 6, 2026 3:06 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 40.82 net shares | 49.0¢ / 19.0¢ | -$0 (-61.2%) | May 5, 2026 10:59 PM | |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? Yes 500.55 net shares | 2.5¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 4, 2026 10:44 AM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 294.12 net shares | 34.0¢ / 18.0¢ | -$9.65 (-47.1%) | Apr 26, 2026 1:55 AM | |
 April 29 No 0.01 net shares | 54.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (85.2%) | Apr 26, 2026 1:51 AM | |
 April 30 No 0.01 net shares | 83.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (19.7%) | Apr 26, 2026 1:51 AM | |
 April 25 No 0.01 net shares | 87.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (14.9%) | Apr 26, 2026 1:50 AM | |
 April 30 No 0.02 net shares | 79.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (26.6%) | Apr 25, 2026 1:48 AM | |
April 22 No 0.02 net shares | 86.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (16.3%) | Apr 23, 2026 4:46 AM | |
 Donald Trump No 0.01 net shares | 85.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (16.9%) | Apr 23, 2026 4:35 AM | |
 April 22 No 103.21 net shares | 96.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (3.2%) | Apr 23, 2026 4:35 AM | |
 >$1.2T Yes | — / 98.6¢ | $0 | — | |
 ↑$2.0T Yes | — / 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
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