
Volume
$128K
Txns
2,352
Traders
520
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$36,375
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 83%$24.7Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$4.64Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 61%$24.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 75%$19.4Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 83%$37.6Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 82%$2.23Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | IlyaJoePeach | No / 95.9¢ | +24.39 | $23.4 | |
| 4h | rafadeverdad | Yes / 4.1¢ | +24.39 | $1 | |
| 2d | amaliacecilia | No / 95.9¢ | -53.00 | $50.8 | |
| 2d | DFK | No / 96.0¢ | -5.88 | $5.64 | |
| 2d | NSLAVEIGGA | Yes / 4.1¢ | -58.88 | $2.41 | |
| 3d | 88888stupidmoney | No / 95.8¢ | +50.00 | $47.9 | |
| 3d | GassedSoap | Yes / 4.2¢ | +574.00 | $24.1 | |
| 3d | EDCvfr41qaz | No / 95.8¢ | +99.27 | $95.1 | |
| 3d | planktonXD | Yes / 4.2¢ | -326.12 | $13.7 | |
| 3d | 9999pm9999 | No / 95.8¢ | +98.61 | $94.5 | |
| 3d | 4rfvpm101qaz | No / 95.8¢ | +26.45 | $25.3 | |
| 3d | 9999pm9999 | No / 95.8¢ | +1.39 | $1.33 | |
| 3d | GassedSoap | Yes / 4.2¢ | +27.84 | $1.17 | |
| 3d | trafefair | Yes / 4.0¢ | -106.74 | $4.27 | |
| 3d | DFK | No / 96.0¢ | -106.74 | $102 | |
| 3d | 53asdad | Yes / 4.1¢ | -22.20 | $0.91 | |
| 3d | 4rfvpm101qaz | No / 95.8¢ | +73.54 | $70.5 | |
| 3d | trafefair | Yes / 4.2¢ | +106.74 | $4.45 | |
| 3d | 53asdad | Yes / 4.1¢ | -11.00 | $0.45 | |
| 3d | Psatoshi | No / 96.0¢ | +16.00 | $15.4 | |
| 3d | DFK | No / 96.0¢ | -16.00 | $15.4 | |
| 4d | vdsfa | No / 95.9¢ | -1.23 | $1.18 | |
| 4d | 53asdad | Yes / 4.1¢ | -1.23 | $0.05 | |
| 4d | ncvbxer | No / 95.9¢ | -1.41 | $1.35 | |
| 4d | 53asdad | Yes / 4.1¢ | -1.41 | $0.06 |
1–25