| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? NoPolitics 80.00 shares | 47.1¢ / 45.0¢ | -$1.7 (-4.5%) | $37.7 · 8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:13 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? NoPolitics 129.99 shares | 47.8¢ / 56.0¢ | $10.9 (16.9%) | $64.5 · 14 | $2.6 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:06 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? YesPolitics 49.00 shares | 57.2¢ / 44.0¢ | -$6.47 (-23.1%) | $28 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:06 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? YesPolitics 10.00 shares | 65.0¢ / 58.0¢ | -$0.7 (-10.8%) | $6.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:05 AM | |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31? YesPolitics 50.00 shares | 57.6¢ / 33.0¢ | -$11.6 (-28.8%) | $40.3 · 6 | $12.2 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:39 AM | |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? NoPolitics 90.00 shares | 66.5¢ / 72.0¢ | -$2 (-2.3%) | $86.4 · 12 | $19.6 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:19 AM | |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? YesPolitics 39.98 shares | 0.9¢ / 0.5¢ | -$0.86 (-27.2%) | $3.16 · 3 | $2.1 · 2 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 9:55 PM | |
 Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July? YesPolitics 38.00 shares | 70.5¢ / 29.0¢ | -$15.8 (-58.9%) | $26.8 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 6:34 PM | |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? YesPolitics 85.00 shares | 26.7¢ / 12.0¢ | -$52.7 (-21.4%) | $246 · 68 | $183 · 24 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 1:08 PM | |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.08 shares | 78.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $90.8 (5.2%) | $1.75K · 32 | $1.84K · 31 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:28 AM |
