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| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 35.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $9.24K (184.4%) | $5.01K · 12 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:16 AM | |
80.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.63K (17.1%) | $21.2K · 15 | $0 | $1.49K | Jul 19, 2026 6:40 AM | ||
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 48.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.55K (54.3%) | $6.54K · 19 | $1.87K · 5 | $1.36K | Jun 15, 2026 4:49 AM | |
76.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.38K (31.1%) | $4.38K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:10 AM | ||
88.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.36K (13.6%) | $10K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 21, 2026 5:42 PM | ||
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 81.0¢ / 98.3¢ | $1.27K (21.2%) | $6K · 1 | $7.27K · 1 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 4:20 AM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? WonYesPolitics | 68.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $967 (45.3%) | $2.13K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 4:54 PM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? WonYesPolitics | 96.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $905 (3.9%) | $23.1K · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 26, 2026 3:59 AM | |
89.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $867 (11.8%) | $7.35K · 5 | $147 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:09 AM | ||
76.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $853 (21.2%) | $4.02K · 10 | $4.27K · 14 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:14 AM | ||
86.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $766 (15.5%) | $4.94K · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:09 AM | ||
![]() Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? WonNoPolitics | 91.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $734 (9.5%) | $7.7K · 35 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 7:05 AM | |
88.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $726 (13.3%) | $5.45K · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 1:40 PM | ||
87.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $674 (14.1%) | $4.77K · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 4:04 AM | ||
32.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $665 (212.5%) | $313 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 12:25 AM | ||
![]() Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 91.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $549 (9.6%) | $5.73K · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 2:36 PM | |
77.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $520 (29.0%) | $1.79K · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 18, 2026 9:12 AM | ||
58.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $452 (61.0%) | $741 · 6 | $561 · 9 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:11 AM | ||
![]() Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 94.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $418 (6.2%) | $6.68K · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 3, 2026 4:20 AM | |
![]() Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7? WonNoPolitics | 79.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $342 (25.3%) | $1.35K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 9, 2026 11:05 PM | |
88.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $341 (13.1%) | $2.61K · 2 | $801 · 4 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 8:00 AM | ||
![]() Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 88.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $338 (13.6%) | $2.48K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:51 AM | |
![]() US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 86.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $319 (15.4%) | $2.07K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:26 AM | |
91.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $319 (5.2%) | $6.14K · 10 | $6.46K · 8 | $0 | Jun 20, 2026 12:40 AM | ||
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9? WonNoPolitics | 86.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $309 (16.3%) | $1.89K · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 13, 2026 4:26 AM |
1–25
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? NoPolitics 3,537.20 shares | 55.7¢ / 50.0¢ | -$202 (-10.3%) | $1.97K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 10:34 AM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? YesPolitics 3,000.00 shares | 93.0¢ / 93.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $2.79K · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 10:32 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? NoPolitics 14,872.91 shares | 37.8¢ / 33.0¢ | -$709 (-12.6%) | $5.62K · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 10:30 AM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? YesPolitics 3,007.26 shares | 34.4¢ / 57.0¢ | $679 (65.5%) | $1.04K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 10:18 AM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by July 31? NoPolitics 101.64 shares | 78.0¢ / 98.0¢ | $20.3 (25.6%) | $79.3 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 10:12 AM | |
![]() Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? NoPolitics 3,598.82 shares | 13.5¢ / 11.0¢ | -$89.5 (-18.4%) | $485 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 10:12 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31? NoPolitics 5,874.69 shares | 83.0¢ / 86.1¢ | $182 (3.7%) | $4.88K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 10:11 AM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? YesPolitics 3,005.90 shares | 63.7¢ / 98.5¢ | $1.04K (54.5%) | $1.92K · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 10:10 AM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? YesPolitics 3,842.09 shares | 51.2¢ / 76.0¢ | $951 (48.3%) | $1.97K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 10:08 AM | |
![]() Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? NoPolitics 14,866.19 shares | 67.5¢ / 77.0¢ | $1.42K (14.1%) | $10K · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 10:02 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? NoPolitics 13,225.94 shares | 64.3¢ / 94.0¢ | $3.93K (46.2%) | $8.5K · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 9:59 AM | |
![]() Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? YesPolitics 81.72 shares | 2.1¢ / 2.6¢ | $0.41 (23.8%) | $1.72 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 9:47 AM | |
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? YesPolitics 290.00 shares | 23.0¢ / 81.0¢ | $168 (252.2%) | $66.7 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 9:46 AM | |
![]() Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 4,054.57 shares | 92.1¢ / 99.2¢ | $287 (7.7%) | $3.73K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 9:46 AM | |
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 5.0¢ / 20.5¢ | $15.5 (310.0%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 9:24 AM | |
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-Augu… YesPolitics 84.00 shares | 6.0¢ / 15.1¢ | $7.64 (151.7%) | $5.04 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 9:23 AM | |
![]() 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? NoPolitics 1,481.04 shares | 91.0¢ / 98.7¢ | $114 (8.4%) | $1.35K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 9:22 AM | |
![]() Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? NoPolitics 1,074.81 shares | 84.5¢ / 99.2¢ | $376 (17.3%) | $2.18K · 1 | $1.49K · 1 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 6:31 AM | |
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? NoPolitics 5,112.35 shares | 96.9¢ / 98.2¢ | $62.8 (1.3%) | $4.96K · 1 | $2 · 2 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 6:19 AM | |
![]() Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? NoPolitics 9,649.15 shares | 80.7¢ / 79.0¢ | -$165 (-2.1%) | $7.79K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 6:10 AM | |
![]() Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? NoPolitics 51.31 shares | 43.7¢ / 79.0¢ | $18.1 (81.0%) | $22.4 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 5:06 AM | |
![]() Will no listed leader be out before 2027? NoPolitics 120.00 shares | 41.0¢ / 58.0¢ | $20.4 (41.5%) | $49.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 4:13 AM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? NoPolitics 3,478.26 shares | 69.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $730 (30.4%) | $2.4K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:44 PM | |
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? YesPolitics 3,381.43 shares | 11.3¢ / 19.4¢ | $273 (71.3%) | $383 · 26 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:30 AM | |
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-Ju… NoPolitics 32,067.67 shares | 58.3¢ / 94.3¢ | $11.6K (61.9%) | $18.7K · 64 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:33 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
129
Won
73
Lost
9
Win Rate
89.0%
Profit Factor
5.69x
Avg Win
$444
Avg Loss
-$633
Total Wins
$32.4K
Total Losses
-$5.69K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield