kyotothug Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? NoCrypto 100.00 shares	72.0¢ / 45.3¢	-$26.7 (-37.1%)	$72 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 9:53 AM
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? NoCrypto 102.00 shares	84.0¢ / 80.0¢	-$4.08 (-4.8%)	$85.7 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 27, 2026 11:16 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	76.0¢ / 100.0¢	$112 (22.4%)	$499 · 1	$611 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2025 9:12 PM
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference? WonYesMentions	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$69.1 (78.6%)	$88 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 19, 2024 2:46 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	15.0¢ / 0.0¢	$60 (20.0%)	$300 · 10	$360 · 1	$0	Sep 17, 2025 9:28 PM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$52.7 (8.7%)	$606 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 11, 2025 3:15 AM
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$51 (22.1%)	$231 · 1	$282 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:31 AM
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2024? WonYesEconomics	11.0¢ / 0.0¢	$50.1 (62.3%)	$80.5 · 4	$131 · 2	$0	Jan 1, 2025 5:06 AM
Xi Jinping out in 2025? WonNoPolitics	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$42 (1.2%)	$3.44K · 25	$3.48K · 7	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:20 AM
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? WonNoPolitics	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$34.2 (11.4%)	$300 · 4	$334 · 3	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:37 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$31.5 (9.9%)	$318 · 4	$0	$0	Sep 18, 2025 12:33 AM
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9? WonDownFinance	72.5¢ / 100.0¢	$24.5 (33.8%)	$72.5 · 2	$97 · 3	$0	Mar 9, 2026 11:40 PM
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? WonNoPolitics	89.7¢ / 96.4¢	$23.6 (6.9%)	$340 · 2	$364 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 1:14 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	97.2¢ / 100.0¢	$22.4 (2.9%)	$777 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 2:10 AM
Will US annual inflation be 2.9% or greater in December? WonNoPolitics	20.0¢ / 0.0¢	$20.3 (30.9%)	$65.7 · 1	$86 · 9	$0	Jan 15, 2025 5:17 PM
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	57.0¢ / 100.0¢	$20 (35.1%)	$57 · 4	$77 · 3	$0	Apr 1, 2026 10:36 PM
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? WonYesSports	10.8¢ / 0.0¢	$18.7 (49.2%)	$38 · 1	$56.6 · 1	$0	May 11, 2025 9:14 PM
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 23-29? WonYesCrypto	94.6¢ / 100.0¢	$16.2 (5.7%)	$284 · 4	$0	$0	Dec 30, 2025 2:23 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? WonYesPolitics	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.3 (12.5%)	$123 · 2	$79.4 · 1	$0	Dec 19, 2024 2:45 AM
Rockets vs. Warriors WonWarriorsSports	41.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14.4 (143.9%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 6, 2024 7:49 AM
Timberwolves vs. Warriors WonWarriorsSports	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.8 (59.2%)	$20 · 1	$31.8 · 1	$0	Dec 9, 2024 6:07 AM
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11 (14.3%)	$77 · 1	$88 · 1	$0	Mar 24, 2026 10:33 PM
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11 (1.5%)	$752 · 1	$763 · 7	$0	Oct 29, 2025 9:17 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	95.6¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (3.6%)	$300 · 1	$311 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:52 PM
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	93.7¢ / 100.0¢	$6.07 (2.0%)	$298 · 2	$304 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:04 AM
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6? WonYesCrypto	62.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.33 (9.7%)	$55 · 1	$60.3 · 1	$0	Dec 6, 2024 7:25 PM
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30? WonNoFinance	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.04 (6.8%)	$74.5 · 5	$79.6 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2025 9:19 AM

					Merge
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? NoCrypto 100.00 shares	72.0¢ / 45.3¢	-$26.7 (-37.1%)	$72 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 9:53 AM
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? NoCrypto 102.00 shares	84.0¢ / 80.0¢	-$4.08 (-4.8%)	$85.7 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 27, 2026 11:16 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	76.0¢ / 100.0¢	$112 (22.4%)	$499 · 1	$611 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2025 9:12 PM
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference? WonYesMentions	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$69.1 (78.6%)	$88 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 19, 2024 2:46 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	15.0¢ / 0.0¢	$60 (20.0%)	$300 · 10	$360 · 1	$0	Sep 17, 2025 9:28 PM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$52.7 (8.7%)	$606 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 11, 2025 3:15 AM
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$51 (22.1%)	$231 · 1	$282 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:31 AM
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2024? WonYesEconomics	11.0¢ / 0.0¢	$50.1 (62.3%)	$80.5 · 4	$131 · 2	$0	Jan 1, 2025 5:06 AM
Xi Jinping out in 2025? WonNoPolitics	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$42 (1.2%)	$3.44K · 25	$3.48K · 7	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:20 AM
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? WonNoPolitics	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$34.2 (11.4%)	$300 · 4	$334 · 3	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:37 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$31.5 (9.9%)	$318 · 4	$0	$0	Sep 18, 2025 12:33 AM
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9? WonDownFinance	72.5¢ / 100.0¢	$24.5 (33.8%)	$72.5 · 2	$97 · 3	$0	Mar 9, 2026 11:40 PM
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? WonNoPolitics	89.7¢ / 96.4¢	$23.6 (6.9%)	$340 · 2	$364 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 1:14 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	97.2¢ / 100.0¢	$22.4 (2.9%)	$777 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 2:10 AM
Will US annual inflation be 2.9% or greater in December? WonNoPolitics	20.0¢ / 0.0¢	$20.3 (30.9%)	$65.7 · 1	$86 · 9	$0	Jan 15, 2025 5:17 PM
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	57.0¢ / 100.0¢	$20 (35.1%)	$57 · 4	$77 · 3	$0	Apr 1, 2026 10:36 PM
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? WonYesSports	10.8¢ / 0.0¢	$18.7 (49.2%)	$38 · 1	$56.6 · 1	$0	May 11, 2025 9:14 PM
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 23-29? WonYesCrypto	94.6¢ / 100.0¢	$16.2 (5.7%)	$284 · 4	$0	$0	Dec 30, 2025 2:23 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? WonYesPolitics	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.3 (12.5%)	$123 · 2	$79.4 · 1	$0	Dec 19, 2024 2:45 AM
Rockets vs. Warriors WonWarriorsSports	41.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14.4 (143.9%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 6, 2024 7:49 AM
Timberwolves vs. Warriors WonWarriorsSports	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.8 (59.2%)	$20 · 1	$31.8 · 1	$0	Dec 9, 2024 6:07 AM
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11 (14.3%)	$77 · 1	$88 · 1	$0	Mar 24, 2026 10:33 PM
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11 (1.5%)	$752 · 1	$763 · 7	$0	Oct 29, 2025 9:17 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	95.6¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (3.6%)	$300 · 1	$311 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:52 PM
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	93.7¢ / 100.0¢	$6.07 (2.0%)	$298 · 2	$304 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:04 AM
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6? WonYesCrypto	62.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.33 (9.7%)	$55 · 1	$60.3 · 1	$0	Dec 6, 2024 7:25 PM
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30? WonNoFinance	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.04 (6.8%)	$74.5 · 5	$79.6 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2025 9:19 AM

kyotothug Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$2.96

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.96

Open$23.6

High$28.2

Low$9.26

Close$26.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2-$9.58

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$9.58

Open$26.6

High$28.6

Low$8.94

Close$17

Open positions3

USD balance$0

3$3.62

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.62

Open$17

High$23.1

Low$16.9

Close$20.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

4$1.81

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.81

Open$20.6

High$22.8

Low$18.7

Close$22.4

Open positions3

USD balance$0

5-$0.38

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.38

Open$22.4

High$22.8

Low$19.4

Close$22

Open positions3

USD balance$0

6$8.62

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$8.62

Open$22

High$31

Low$20.9

Close$30.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

7-$11

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$11

Open$30.7

High$30.7

Low$5.11

Close$19.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

8$0.24

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.24

Open$19.7

High$21.1

Low$15.9

Close$19.9

Open positions3

USD balance$0

9-$0.62

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.62

Open$19.9

High$19.9

Low$14.9

Close$19.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

10$0

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$19.3

High$19.7

Low$15.3

Close$19.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

11$4.13

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.13

Open$19.3

High$26.5

Low$19.3

Close$23.4

Open positions3

USD balance$0

12$1.89

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.89

Open$23.4

High$26.8

Low$10.7

Close$25.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

13$2.04

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.04

Open$25.3

High$27.7

Low$10.7

Close$27.4

Open positions3

USD balance$0

14$1.76

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.76

Open$27.4

High$29.5

Low$27.4

Close$29.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

15-$1.34

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.34

Open$29.1

High$31.2

Low$27.6

Close$27.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

16$3

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$27.8

High$31.2

Low$24.8

Close$30.8

Open positions3

USD balance$0

17-$0.8

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.8

Open$30.8

High$36.3

Low$29.6

Close$30

Open positions3

USD balance$0

18$1.02

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.02

Open$30

High$31.4

Low$30

Close$31

Open positions3

USD balance$0

19$8.06

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$8.06

Open$31

High$44.9

Low$31

Close$39.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

20-$6.55

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$6.55

Open$39.1

High$39.8

Low$32.5

Close$32.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

21-$2.79

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.79

Open$32.5

High$33.9

Low$28.9

Close$29.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

22$5.49

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.49

Open$29.7

High$35.6

Low$29.7

Close$35.2

Open positions2

USD balance$958

23$4.45

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.45

Open$35.2

High$39.7

Low$35.2

Close$39.7

Open positions2

USD balance$958

24-$1.73

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.73

Open$39.7

High$40.7

Low$36.9

Close$37.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25$3.75

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.75

Open$37.9

High$41.7

Low$37.9

Close$41.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26$1.02

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.02

Open$41.7

High$42.7

Low$41.7

Close$42.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27-$2.65

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.65

Open$42.7

High$42.7

Low$38

Close$40

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28$0.97

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.97

Open$40

High$44.5

Low$40

Close$41

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $07D $6.1830D $10.1

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

80.0%

Profit Factor

1.09x

Avg Win

$19.3

Avg Loss

-$71

Total Wins

$770

Total Losses

-$710

Avg. Hold Time

200d 55m 8s

Best Win

$112

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Worst Loss

-$219

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?

Period

Best Period

$112, Feb 12 – Jul 3

Worst Period

-$243, Jan 14 – Jan 20

Longest Streak

6d W / 4d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$290 (-122.7%)

Current DD

-$195 (-82.7%)

Max Runup

$441 (215.5%)

Rebates

Rewards

$5.46(4)

Yield

$5.82(171)

kyotothug

Analytics

kyotothug

Analytics

kyotothug

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

kyotothug

Trader DNA

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types