
Volume
$9K
Txns
441
Traders
84
Fees
$20
Liquidity
$2,729
Ends
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 99%$726Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$2.03Mvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.37Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
No 91%$78.6Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
No 64%$167Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Yes 59%$48.2Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 54sfds | Yes / 9.0¢ | -10.60 | $0.95 | |
| 7d | hitunfar | No / 90.8¢ | -54.00 | $49 | |
| 7d | Laribobibo | Yes / 8.0¢ | -38.07 | $3.05 | |
| 7d | Lavincey | No / 85.0¢ | +5.33 | $4.53 | |
| 7d | Fihdrzgdd | Yes / 11.6¢ | -5.66 | $0.66 | |
| 7d | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 88.0¢ | -5.66 | $4.98 | |
| 7d | Fihdrzgdd | Yes / 13.0¢ | +150.00 | $19.5 | |
| 7d | massappealyo | Yes / 12.3¢ | -343.14 | $42.1 | |
| 7d | thecaricature | Yes / 13.0¢ | +80.00 | $10.4 | |
| 7d | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 88.0¢ | -102.34 | $90.1 | |
| 7d | 54sfds | Yes / 13.0¢ | +10.80 | $1.4 | |
| 8d | Laribobibo | Yes / 15.0¢ | -16.00 | $2.4 | |
| 8d | ScottsRoad | No / 84.5¢ | -16.00 | $13.5 | |
| 9d | Laribobibo | Yes / 15.0¢ | +54.07 | $8.11 | |
| 9d | hitunfar | No / 85.0¢ | +54.07 | $46.2 | |
| 9d | thecaricature | Yes / 13.0¢ | +20.00 | $2.6 | |
| 9d | 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657 | Yes / 12.5¢ | -20.00 | $2.51 | |
| 17d | ScottsRoad | No / 84.0¢ | +16.00 | $13.4 | |
| 17d | Barbs94 | No / 83.5¢ | -16.00 | $13.4 | |
| 20d | keybo | Yes / 14.0¢ | -30.00 | $4.2 | |
| 20d | 0x1f6AC1Ef88dEF25B8c7D42C4AD393FF1D5Ba7a94-1770144540899 | Yes / 14.0¢ | +30.00 | $4.34 | |
| 21d | keybo | Yes / 14.0¢ | +30.94 | $4.33 | |
| 21d | parameter1 | No / 86.0¢ | +58.14 | $50.3 | |
| 21d | Colala | No / 86.0¢ | -27.20 | $23.4 | |
| 21d | Colala | No / 85.0¢ | +27.20 | $23.1 |
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