
Volume
$1M
Txns
12,552
Traders
1,857
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit. A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 95%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No 99%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -103.17 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | 0xdDFDf1616Af953f98f78aFB324979C809F8Fa0d0-1774767892703 | No / 99.9¢ | -103.17 | $103 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -26.56 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | Chuggo1 | No / 99.9¢ | -26.56 | $26.5 | |
| 2mo | 0xbea8...9c36ef | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | WF27 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.06 | $1.06 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.06 | $0 | |
| 2mo | 0xbea8...9c36ef | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | SuAlteza | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | SuAlteza | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 2mo | Mak1ma | No / 99.9¢ | -110.00 | $110 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -110.00 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | 0xbea8...9c36ef | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4,251.33 | $4.25 | |
| 2mo | M2sx92kljs42 | No / 99.9¢ | -4,685.47 | $4.68K | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -434.14 | $0.43 | |
| 2mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4,685.46 | $4.69 | |
| 2mo | M2sx92kljs42 | No / 99.9¢ | -4,685.46 | $4.68K | |
| 2mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0xbea8...9c36ef | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 |
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