| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -106.66 net shares | — / 3.5¢ | $5.8 | Jun 5, 2026 11:46 AM | |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down -2.48 net shares | 12.1¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 2, 2026 11:14 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 100.00 net shares | 40.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$20 (-100.0%) | May 2, 2026 11:12 PM | |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No 0.00 net shares | 36.0¢ / 53.0¢ | $0 (47.2%) | Apr 30, 2026 1:21 AM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 29.41 net shares | 34.0¢ / 18.0¢ | -$2.35 (-47.1%) | Apr 30, 2026 12:50 AM | |
 85% Yes 6.84 net shares | 29.2¢ / 22.0¢ | -$0.25 (-24.8%) | Apr 30, 2026 12:49 AM | |
 NVIDIA Yes 11.57 net shares | 86.4¢ / 93.0¢ | $0 (7.6%) | Apr 30, 2026 12:48 AM | |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET No 2.87 net shares | 48.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (104.6%) | Apr 26, 2026 10:39 PM | |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes 13.64 net shares | 44.0¢ / 39.0¢ | -$0.34 (-11.4%) | Apr 26, 2026 10:39 PM | |
 Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by 31? No 21.43 net shares | 56.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (78.6%) | Apr 26, 2026 10:38 PM | |
 June 30 No 21.98 net shares | 91.0¢ / 93.7¢ | $0.3 (3.0%) | Apr 26, 2026 10:37 PM | |
 Benjamin Netanyahu Yes 66.68 net shares | 45.4¢ / 36.0¢ | -$3.14 (-20.8%) | Apr 26, 2026 10:36 PM | |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET Yes 13.09 net shares | 30.6¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 26, 2026 10:33 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 20.90 net shares | 67.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (49.3%) | Apr 26, 2026 10:18 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 0.01 net shares | 17.0¢ / 11.2¢ | -$0 (-34.1%) | Apr 26, 2026 10:15 PM | |
 December 31 Yes 11.11 net shares | 12.7¢ / 8.7¢ | -$0.45 (-31.7%) | Feb 26, 2026 9:28 PM | |
 Donald Trump Yes 0.01 net shares | 3.0¢ / 1.4¢ | -$0 (-53.3%) | Feb 9, 2026 11:32 PM | |
 GPT-6 released Yes 0.00 net shares | 62.0¢ / 54.0¢ | -$0 (-12.9%) | Feb 7, 2026 12:14 AM | |
 Bitcoin hits $1m Yes 0.00 net shares | 49.0¢ / 49.3¢ | $0 (0.6%) | Feb 5, 2026 6:39 AM | |
Jesus Christ returns No 0.00 net shares | 52.0¢ / 48.8¢ | -$0 (-6.2%) | Feb 5, 2026 6:39 AM | |
China invades Taiwan Yes 0.00 net shares | 52.0¢ / 51.0¢ | -$0 (-1.9%) | Feb 1, 2026 11:35 PM | |
 8–10 Yes 0.00 net shares | 13.0¢ / 7.5¢ | -$0 (-42.3%) | Jan 25, 2026 4:26 AM | |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes 0.00 net shares | 5.2¢ / 0.3¢ | -$0 (-94.2%) | Jan 21, 2026 4:11 AM | |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes 0.00 net shares | 15.4¢ / 6.4¢ | -$0 (-58.4%) | Jan 18, 2026 12:02 AM | |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes 0.00 net shares | 15.0¢ / 13.0¢ | -$0 (-13.3%) | Jan 17, 2026 11:27 PM |
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