
Volume
$517K
Txns
10,109
Traders
1,550
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Another US government shutdown - Fed Rate Cut - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela - U.S. invades a Latin American country - US strike on Cuba - US strike on Colombia - Nicolás Maduro released from custody Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+January.pdf
Trades
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.05Mvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$4.57Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$18.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.1Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.5Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$10.5Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 1BeaNataTime | No / 99.9¢ | +1,096.72 | $1.1K | |
| 4mo | csgb | No / 99.9¢ | -1,096.72 | $1.1K | |
| 4mo | 1BeaNataTime | No / 99.9¢ | +40.35 | $40.3 | |
| 4mo | MrMelonHead | No / 99.9¢ | -40.35 | $40.3 | |
| 4mo | 0xf7dAF4B78Efd488a4BE7d6057184F293d376ebB4-1768743247940 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 1BeaNataTime | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | VulgarLemon | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 4mo | 1BeaNataTime | No / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 4mo | ddolsw123r | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 4mo | 1BeaNataTime | No / 99.9¢ | +990.00 | $989 | |
| 4mo | 0x6b33...cc40ed | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | No / 99.4¢ | +1.21 | $1.2 | |
| 4mo | hutsik | No / 99.4¢ | -1.21 | $1.2 | |
| 4mo | BBL-Drizzy | No / 99.4¢ | -1.21 | $1.2 | |
| 4mo | Dr.mett | No / 99.4¢ | +1.21 | $1.2 | |
| 4mo | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | -1,207.55 | $1.21K | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.3¢ | +12.37 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.2¢ | +104.80 | $0.21 | |
| 4mo | arjenw | No / 99.8¢ | +2,057.90 | $2.05K | |
| 4mo | kanshifu | No / 99.8¢ | -475.86 | $475 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.3¢ | +238.65 | $0.72 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.2¢ | +18.67 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | TheRedSaurian | No / 99.1¢ | -4.70 | $4.66 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.9¢ | -4.70 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.9¢ | -100.00 | $0.9 |
1–25