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![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? YesPolitics 906.32 shares | 24.8¢ / 21.0¢ | $8.81 (2.9%) | $303 · 16 | $122 · 9 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:58 PM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by August 31? YesPolitics 812.46 shares | 33.1¢ / 31.0¢ | $80.2 (9.5%) | $843 · 38 | $671 · 23 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:31 PM | |
![]() Trump out as President before 2027? YesPolitics 2,374.35 shares | 7.4¢ / 6.0¢ | -$32.6 (-18.6%) | $175 · 12 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:55 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 485.41 shares | 53.5¢ / 55.0¢ | $431 (30.3%) | $1.42K · 33 | $1.58K · 53 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:15 PM | |
![]() Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? YesPolitics 4,245.40 shares | 21.3¢ / 15.0¢ | -$195 (-8.8%) | $2.2K · 93 | $1.39K · 41 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:41 AM | |
![]() Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? YesPolitics 5,016.57 shares | 1.6¢ / 0.1¢ | -$55.6 (-16.7%) | $334 · 120 | $273 · 57 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 8:04 AM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? YesPolitics 36.97 shares | 51.0¢ / 41.0¢ | -$3.7 (-19.6%) | $18.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 7:07 AM | |
![]() Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? YesPolitics 1,205.67 shares | 22.7¢ / 20.0¢ | -$24.9 (-7.4%) | $338 · 45 | $72.3 · 11 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:14 PM | |
![]() Iran Nuke before 2027? YesPolitics 2,478.98 shares | 5.7¢ / 5.1¢ | -$13.1 (-9.1%) | $145 · 22 | $5.2 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:03 PM | |
![]() Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? YesPolitics 9,606.87 shares | 22.1¢ / 7.0¢ | -$972 (-13.5%) | $7.2K · 156 | $5.55K · 111 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:00 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? YesPolitics 0.32 shares | 16.8¢ / 6.0¢ | $26.3 (4.5%) | $591 · 25 | $617 · 21 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 4:39 AM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? YesPolitics 0.09 shares | 10.1¢ / 16.0¢ | $139 (56.1%) | $247 · 8 | $386 · 24 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 11:27 PM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by July 24? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.08 shares | 83.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $30.4 (8.5%) | $359 · 6 | $390 · 3 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 6:06 AM | |
![]() Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? NoPolitics 0.14 shares | 89.0¢ / 98.3¢ | $3.06 (2.1%) | $143 · 5 | $146 · 2 | $0 | Jul 11, 2026 3:12 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 0.09 shares | 36.8¢ / 91.0¢ | $198 (60.0%) | $330 · 31 | $528 · 31 | $0 | Jul 11, 2026 10:37 AM | |
![]() Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 0.18 shares | 83.2¢ / 87.0¢ | $6.66 (4.5%) | $147 · 2 | $154 · 1 | $0 | Jun 27, 2026 12:27 AM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.08 shares | 72.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.86 (0.2%) | $436 · 10 | $437 · 19 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 12:20 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.09 shares | 56.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $16.2 (9.0%) | $179 · 7 | $196 · 10 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 6:31 AM | |
![]() WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1? DownFinanceRedeemable 0.06 shares | 59.6¢ / 100.0¢ | -$0.62 (-0.1%) | $530 · 7 | $524 · 9 | $4.78 | May 1, 2026 11:13 PM | |
![]() US forces enter Iran by March 31? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.07 shares | 71.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $108 (11.2%) | $963 · 13 | $1.07K · 13 | $0 | Apr 5, 2026 6:15 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.06 shares | 83.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $17.1 (7.4%) | $231 · 10 | $248 · 10 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:18 AM |
1–21
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15? WonYesPolitics | 4.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.79K (1744.5%) | $332 · 20 | $333 · 4 | $0 | Nov 16, 2025 5:55 AM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? WonYesPolitics | 34.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.51K (55.9%) | $9.84K · 72 | $15.3K · 47 | $0 | Aug 8, 2025 8:45 PM | |
64.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.89K (36.8%) | $13.3K · 62 | $18.1K · 45 | $50 | Oct 1, 2025 6:29 AM | ||
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? WonNoPolitics | 76.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.62K (9.9%) | $46.6K · 120 | $48K · 65 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 9:09 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 36.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.7K (87.1%) | $3.1K · 23 | $5.8K · 19 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:15 AM | |
22.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.67K (64.2%) | $4.16K · 58 | $5.82K · 38 | $0 | Oct 24, 2025 6:20 PM | ||
![]() Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 68.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.58K (11.4%) | $22.7K · 68 | $25.3K · 54 | $0 | Oct 29, 2025 4:44 PM | |
![]() US military action against Iran before August? WonYesPolitics | 56.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.52K (74.7%) | $3.37K · 15 | $5.89K · 4 | $0 | Jun 22, 2025 2:59 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? WonNoPolitics | 53.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.75K (17.2%) | $10.2K · 27 | $11.9K · 55 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 6:10 AM | |
![]() Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? WonNoPolitics | 65.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.71K (28.6%) | $5.98K · 31 | $7.61K · 10 | $80 | Apr 24, 2025 1:00 AM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? WonYesPolitics | 48.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.53K (12.1%) | $12.6K · 58 | $14.1K · 62 | $0 | Oct 29, 2025 5:48 PM | |
![]() Will Russia enter Kostyantynivka by October 31? WonYesPolitics | 14.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.25K (269.0%) | $464 · 2 | $1.71K · 12 | $0 | Oct 28, 2025 5:13 PM | |
10.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.23K (161.0%) | $763 · 44 | $1.99K · 52 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 2:04 PM | ||
![]() Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31? WonYesPolitics | 64.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.12K (34.4%) | $3.25K · 14 | $4.37K · 9 | $0 | Aug 8, 2025 9:49 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30? WonYesPolitics | 26.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.11K (272.6%) | $406 · 13 | $0 | $0 | Nov 26, 2025 12:28 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31? WonYesPolitics | 13.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.06K (40.8%) | $2.6K · 60 | $3.66K · 43 | $0 | Feb 10, 2026 9:34 PM | |
35.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.03K (58.6%) | $1.75K · 86 | $2.78K · 146 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 6:07 AM | ||
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? WonNoPolitics | 68.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.02K (13.7%) | $7.44K · 11 | $8.47K · 16 | $0 | Oct 1, 2025 6:32 AM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 43.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $973 (18.3%) | $5.33K · 23 | $6.3K · 29 | $0 | Dec 19, 2025 5:43 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? WonNoPolitics | 45.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $948 (34.6%) | $2.74K · 11 | $3.69K · 15 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 6:12 AM | |
49.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $875 (30.8%) | $2.84K · 40 | $3.71K · 55 | $0 | Mar 1, 2026 10:34 AM | ||
79.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $855 (11.6%) | $7.38K · 20 | $8.24K · 13 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:41 AM | ||
![]() Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? WonNoPolitics | 49.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $843 (13.9%) | $6.06K · 30 | $6.91K · 9 | $0 | Feb 10, 2026 9:35 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? WonNoPolitics | 48.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $768 (22.6%) | $3.41K · 25 | $4.18K · 17 | $0 | Oct 29, 2025 5:48 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? WonYesPolitics | 3.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $720 (106.7%) | $675 · 26 | $1.4K · 13 | $0 | Sep 1, 2025 6:30 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
445
Won
189
Lost
233
Win Rate
44.8%
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$357
Avg Loss
-$291
Total Wins
$67.5K
Total Losses
-$67.8K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield