
Volume
$2M
Txns
11,115
Traders
1,285
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 11, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an the US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 79%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 75%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 75%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 99.9¢ | +250.41 | $250 | |
| 1y | 0x990F2e7133d2AF1eBfC393041Fc3c2dE70C17c08-1730557596259 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -250.41 | $250 | |
| 1y | James245 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -9.00 | $8.99 | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9.00 | $8.99 | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 99.9¢ | +22.58 | $22.6 | |
| 1y | PoliticS-522 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -22.58 | $22.6 | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.40 | $2.4 | |
| 1y | armizimm | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.40 | $2.4 | |
| 1y | 0xF4e4314b725a0E69dEAe784f7459Ad8762b67934-1721680998128 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.71 | $7.7 | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7.71 | $7.7 | |
| 1y | ro0k | No / 0.2¢ | -87.20 | $0.17 | |
| 1y | rlfidmoo | No / 0.1¢ | +912.81 | $1 | |
| 1y | elon777 | No / 0.1¢ | -825.61 | $0.83 | |
| 1y | BernardLHester | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,035.23 | $1.03K | |
| 1y | elon777 | No / 0.1¢ | -1,035.23 | $1.04 | |
| 1y | Gd80 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,209.88 | $2.21K | |
| 1y | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,209.88 | $2.21K | |
| 1y | DDDASHEE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | jinsun... | Yes / 99.9¢ | -511.00 | $510 | |
| 1y | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +411.00 | $411 | |
| 1y | Flipadelphia | Yes / 99.9¢ | +215.67 | $215 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +15.67 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | whyuasostupid | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.3¢ | -200.00 | $0.6 | |
| 1y | H.C. | Yes / 99.7¢ | -200.00 | $199 |
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