| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? YesEconomics 12.90 shares | 48.7¢ / 62.0¢ | $3.86 (14.8%) | $25 · 2 | $22 · 1 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:16 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? YesPolitics 5.13 shares | 39.0¢ / 8.0¢ | -$1.59 (-79.5%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:16 AM | |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? YesFinance 21.14 shares | 14.6¢ / 7.0¢ | -$1.61 (-52.1%) | $2.96 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:10 AM | |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential elect… YesPolitics 9.80 shares | 52.0¢ / 63.0¢ | $1.08 (21.2%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:05 AM | |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026… YesPolitics 25.00 shares | 4.2¢ / 2.2¢ | -$0.5 (-47.8%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:57 AM | |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? YesPolitics 40.25 shares | 39.5¢ / 25.0¢ | -$5.84 (-36.7%) | $15.9 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:27 AM | |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? YesPolitics 31.25 shares | 16.5¢ / 10.0¢ | -$2.04 (-39.5%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:56 AM | |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? YesPolitics 14.29 shares | 35.0¢ / 15.0¢ | -$2.86 (-57.1%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:31 AM | |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? YesEconomics 16.67 shares | 6.3¢ / 2.8¢ | -$0.58 (-55.4%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:04 AM | |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? NoPolitics 7.14 shares | 42.0¢ / 74.0¢ | $2.29 (76.2%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:30 PM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? YesPolitics 10.00 shares | 20.0¢ / 22.0¢ | $0.2 (10.0%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:08 PM | |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? NoPolitics 17.92 shares | 28.7¢ / 17.9¢ | -$1.93 (-37.5%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:12 PM | |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? YesPolitics 14.69 shares | 34.0¢ / 14.0¢ | -$2.94 (-58.9%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:10 PM | |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? NoPolitics 0.38 shares | 67.1¢ / 65.6¢ | -$0.01 (-2.3%) | $0.25 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:52 PM | |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uraniu… YesPolitics 25.00 shares | 20.0¢ / 16.0¢ | -$1 (-20.0%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:39 PM | |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? YesPolitics 12.82 shares | 39.0¢ / 30.0¢ | -$1.15 (-23.0%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:15 PM | |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 15.63 shares | 64.9¢ / 82.0¢ | $2.67 (26.3%) | $10 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:52 PM | |
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of… YesPolitics 4.00 shares | 50.0¢ / 0.5¢ | -$1.98 (-99.0%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:16 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 9.52 shares | 21.0¢ / 22.0¢ | $0.1 (4.8%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 2:16 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay YesPolitics 29.41 shares | 17.0¢ / 9.0¢ | -$2.35 (-47.1%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 11:21 AM | |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? YesPolitics 30.00 shares | 17.7¢ / 6.7¢ | -$3.31 (-62.3%) | $5.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 24, 2026 10:15 AM |
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