Natural Disaster in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$212K
Txns
5,327
Traders
1,169
Fees
$79
Liquidity
$2,242
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$212K
Txns
5,327
Traders
1,169
Fees
$79
Liquidity
$2,242
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30m | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 25.0¢ | -15.48 | $3.87 | |
| 30m | Haradwaith | Yes / 25.0¢ | -4.18 | $1.04 | |
| 30m | iliabouchouev | No / 74.1¢ | -19.66 | $14.6 | |
| 1h | Ricardomaciaslozano | Yes / 25.0¢ | +4.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 25.0¢ | -4.00 | $1 | |
| 1h | Rrmexil | Yes / 23.1¢ | -3.57 | $0.82 | |
| 1h | Autisticbot | Yes / 24.0¢ | +3.57 | $0.86 | |
| 17h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 22.0¢ | +11.07 | $2.44 | |
| 17h | 0x1950...2d13dc | Yes / 20.9¢ | -11.07 | $2.32 | |
| 21h | Akta28 | Yes / 25.0¢ | +8.00 | $2.08 | |
| 21h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 25.0¢ | -8.00 | $2 | |
| 1d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 26.0¢ | -3.85 | $1 | |
| 1d | ypineault | Yes / 26.0¢ | +3.85 | $1.04 | |
| 1d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 21.0¢ | +1.75 | $0.37 | |
| 1d | evaleri | No / 78.1¢ | +12.80 | $10.1 | |
| 1d | cheng | No / 78.0¢ | -11.05 | $8.62 | |
| 1d | sweetbabyjesus | Yes / 27.0¢ | +7.41 | $2.07 | |
| 1d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 27.0¢ | -7.41 | $2 | |
| 2d | kap2711 | Yes / 22.1¢ | -3.92 | $0.87 | |
| 2d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 23.0¢ | +3.92 | $0.9 | |
| 2d | cheng | No / 78.0¢ | -5.21 | $4.06 | |
| 2d | 0xc166014Fbba185d424b2AA44de842a79DE31fbc7-1779144301827 | Yes / 21.1¢ | -5.21 | $1.1 | |
| 2d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 23.0¢ | +19.00 | $4.37 | |
| 2d | shukicarpenter | Yes / 22.1¢ | -19.00 | $4.2 | |
| 2d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 26.0¢ | -19.00 | $4.94 |
1–25
