
Volume
$216K
Txns
5,770
Traders
1,251
Fees
$135
Liquidity
$504
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 20.0¢ | -20.00 | $4 | |
| 1h | eatLi | No / 79.2¢ | -20.00 | $15.8 | |
| 1h | 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295 | No / 85.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.25 | |
| 1h | eatLi | No / 85.0¢ | +20.00 | $17 | |
| 1h | jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq | Yes / 18.0¢ | -7.50 | $1.35 | |
| 1h | Dr.PNL | No / 85.0¢ | +85.00 | $72.3 | |
| 1h | Oklmntrader | Yes / 16.0¢ | -167.50 | $26.8 | |
| 1h | 0xb20b...9ad46e | Yes / 16.1¢ | +452.50 | $76.2 | |
| 1h | UTILIZADOR2 | No / 84.0¢ | +50.00 | $42 | |
| 1h | 0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415 | Yes / 15.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.75 | |
| 1h | jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq | Yes / 16.0¢ | -7.50 | $1.2 | |
| 1h | 0xd823721597A464008050819ECC2d6C2c43E512fE-1782111812111 | No / 85.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.5 | |
| 1h | 0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332 | No / 86.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.3 | |
| 1h | IFZ | Yes / 20.0¢ | -50.00 | $10 | |
| 1h | 0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190 | No / 85.0¢ | +40.00 | $34 | |
| 15h | norulesnvr | Yes / 10.9¢ | +204.00 | $23.2 | |
| 15h | Dr.PNL | No / 89.0¢ | +21.86 | $19.5 | |
| 15h | HE110W0R1D | Yes / 11.0¢ | -50.00 | $5.5 | |
| 15h | TeenagePanda | Yes / 11.0¢ | -57.14 | $6.29 | |
| 15h | VonVonagh | Yes / 10.0¢ | -25.00 | $2.5 | |
| 15h | gavinfunda | Yes / 11.0¢ | -50.00 | $5.5 | |
| 16h | 0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.65 | |
| 16h | AJSV | No / 87.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.38 | |
| 17h | VonVonagh | Yes / 9.0¢ | +20.78 | $1.87 | |
| 17h | test123123123155523 | Yes / 6.0¢ | -196.00 | $11.8 |
1–25
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 99%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Yes 61%$0volume
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide…
No 100%$0volume
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide…
Yes 57%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 86%$0volume