 April 30 No 26.23 net shares | 61.0¢ / 98.4¢ | -$16 (-100.0%) | $12.9 13.11 shares | Apr 21, 2026 6:44 AM | |
 Enrichment of Uranium No 25.64 net shares | 62.4¢ / 99.2¢ | -$16 (-100.0%) | $12.7 12.82 shares | Apr 21, 2026 4:22 AM | |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? No 20.51 net shares | 78.0¢ / 95.2¢ | -$16 (-100.0%) | $9.76 10.26 shares | Apr 21, 2026 6:53 AM | |
 Donald Trump No 15.13 net shares | 84.6¢ / 99.5¢ | -$12.8 (-100.0%) | $7.53 7.57 shares | Apr 21, 2026 6:44 AM | |
 Nicolás Maduro No 34.33 net shares | 46.6¢ / 39.4¢ | -$16 (-100.0%) | $6.76 17.17 shares | Apr 23, 2026 11:20 PM | |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? No 11.83 net shares | 67.6¢ / 99.5¢ | -$8 (-100.0%) | $5.89 5.92 shares | Apr 21, 2026 4:22 AM | |
April 30 No 10.78 net shares | 70.5¢ / 99.2¢ | -$7.6 (-100.0%) | $5.35 5.39 shares | Apr 21, 2026 4:22 AM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? No 9.77 net shares | 61.4¢ / 98.8¢ | -$6 (-100.0%) | $4.83 4.89 shares | Apr 21, 2026 4:22 AM | |
 April 30 No 9.38 net shares | 64.0¢ / 97.4¢ | -$6 (-100.0%) | $4.57 4.69 shares | Apr 21, 2026 4:22 AM | |
June 30 No 21.05 net shares | 19.0¢ / 43.0¢ | -$4 (-100.0%) | $4.53 10.53 shares | Apr 21, 2026 4:22 AM | |
 Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes 38.10 net shares | 21.0¢ / 21.0¢ | -$8 (-100.0%) | $4 19.05 shares | Apr 23, 2026 11:20 PM | |
 No prison time No 11.76 net shares | 68.0¢ / 68.0¢ | -$8 (-100.0%) | $4 5.88 shares | Apr 23, 2026 11:20 PM | |
May 31 No 6.60 net shares | 30.0¢ / 66.0¢ | -$1.98 (-100.0%) | $2.18 3.30 shares | Apr 21, 2026 4:22 AM | |
 No meeting by June 30 Yes 4.85 net shares | 82.4¢ / 86.7¢ | -$4 (-100.0%) | $2.1 2.43 shares | Apr 23, 2026 11:37 PM | |
 J.D. Vance Yes 5.97 net shares | 93.8¢ / 43.3¢ | -$5.6 (-100.0%) | $1.29 2.99 shares | Apr 21, 2026 7:21 AM | |
 April 30 Yes 5.05 net shares | 95.0¢ / 7.0¢ | -$4.8 (-100.0%) | $0.18 2.53 shares | Apr 21, 2026 7:21 AM | |
 Péter Magyar Yes 0.01 net shares | 64.0¢ / 99.4¢ | -$0.01 (-0.2%) | $0.01 0.01 shares | Mar 25, 2026 9:18 PM | |
 Viktor Orbán No 0.01 net shares | 65.0¢ / 99.6¢ | -$0.01 (-0.2%) | $0.01 0.01 shares | Mar 25, 2026 9:18 PM | |
 1 (25 bps) No 0.02 net shares | 73.0¢ / 71.0¢ | $0.03 (1.0%) | $0.01 0.01 shares | Mar 25, 2026 9:18 PM | |
 Above 4% No 0.00 net shares | 54.0¢ / 50.0¢ | $0.09 (3.6%) | $0 0.00 shares | Mar 25, 2026 9:17 PM | |
 ↓ $4,200 Yes 0.01 net shares | 61.0¢ / 26.0¢ | -$0.1 (-3.4%) | $0 0.01 shares | Mar 25, 2026 9:18 PM | |
0 (0 bps) Yes 0.01 net shares | 36.8¢ / 40.5¢ | -$0.68 (-24.3%) | $0 0.00 shares | Mar 25, 2026 9:23 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No 0.00 net shares | 73.0¢ / 99.6¢ | -$0.32 (-12.4%) | $0 0.00 shares | Mar 25, 2026 9:20 PM | |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 0.01 net shares | 21.0¢ / 13.0¢ | $0.21 (4.7%) | $0 0.01 shares | Mar 25, 2026 9:16 PM | |
 US recession by end of 2026? Yes 0.00 net shares | 35.0¢ / 26.0¢ | -$0.06 (-2.9%) | $0 0.00 shares | Mar 25, 2026 9:18 PM |
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