marsion Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026… NoPolitics 419.20 shares	96.6¢ / 97.5¢	$3.91 (1.0%)	$404 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 5:23 AM
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? NoPolitics 219.00 shares	91.6¢ / 94.6¢	$11.6 (4.1%)	$282 · 3	$87.1 · 1	$0	Jul 31, 2026 5:16 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies WonAtlanta BravesSports	84.6¢ / 100.0¢	$161 (18.1%)	$888 · 4	$1.05K · 1	$0	Apr 20, 2026 4:16 AM
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$101 (22.2%)	$453 · 2	$553 · 1	$0	Dec 31, 2025 8:59 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	79.9¢ / 100.0¢	$84 (23.5%)	$358 · 1	$442 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:01 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$81.4 (14.7%)	$553 · 1	$635 · 6	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$47.8 (7.5%)	$635 · 1	$682 · 2	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:07 PM
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$40.3 (6.4%)	$631 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 7, 2026 7:15 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$35.8 (1.5%)	$2.35K · 2	$2.39K · 2	$0	Apr 29, 2026 9:30 PM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? WonNoPolitics	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$30.2 (1.9%)	$1.58K · 2	$1.61K · 2	$0	Apr 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? WonNoFinance	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$21.3 (2.0%)	$1.06K · 5	$1.08K · 3	$0	May 1, 2026 2:22 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? WonNoFinance	98.6¢ / 100.0¢	$17.8 (1.0%)	$1.8K · 2	$1.82K · 2	$0	May 1, 2026 2:15 AM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? WonNoPolitics	96.4¢ / 100.0¢	$17.1 (2.8%)	$607 · 2	$624 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 7:14 AM
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians WonHouston AstrosSports	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$15.1 (2.0%)	$742 · 2	$757 · 1	$0	Apr 21, 2026 2:35 AM
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays WonCincinnati RedsSports	97.9¢ / 100.0¢	$13.4 (1.9%)	$715 · 1	$729 · 4	$0	Apr 21, 2026 2:43 AM
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? WonNoPolitics	98.5¢ / 99.9¢	$12.7 (1.2%)	$1.02K · 1	$1.04K · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 3:24 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 21? WonNoCrypto	94.1¢ / 100.0¢	$11.8 (6.3%)	$188 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 24, 2026 2:07 PM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? WonNoFinance	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$9.42 (0.9%)	$1.09K · 1	$1.1K · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 7:14 AM
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-19? WonYesSports	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.17 (0.8%)	$1.05K · 1	$1.06K · 4	$0	Apr 20, 2026 5:55 AM
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	98.5¢ / 100.0¢	$7.82 (0.4%)	$1.92K · 1	$1.93K · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:05 AM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? WonYesTech	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.86 (1.8%)	$380 · 1	$387 · 1	$0	Mar 31, 2026 8:24 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April? WonNoFinance	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.8 (0.7%)	$1.04K · 2	$210 · 1	$0	May 2, 2026 11:27 AM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? WonNoFinance	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$4.19 (0.4%)	$1.1K · 1	$1.1K · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? WonNoCrypto	97.7¢ / 100.0¢	$3.97 (0.2%)	$1.67K · 5	$1.68K · 12	$0	May 1, 2026 7:23 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May? WonNoCrypto	99.6¢ / 100.0¢	$3.3 (0.2%)	$1.92K · 1	$1.92K · 92	$0	Jun 1, 2026 11:58 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$2.82 (0.8%)	$349 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 12:13 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on March 9? WonNoCrypto	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.65 (0.9%)	$305 · 2	$308 · 1	$0	Mar 10, 2026 6:20 AM

					Merge
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026… NoPolitics 419.20 shares	96.6¢ / 97.5¢	$3.91 (1.0%)	$404 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 5:23 AM
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? NoPolitics 219.00 shares	91.6¢ / 94.6¢	$11.6 (4.1%)	$282 · 3	$87.1 · 1	$0	Jul 31, 2026 5:16 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies WonAtlanta BravesSports	84.6¢ / 100.0¢	$161 (18.1%)	$888 · 4	$1.05K · 1	$0	Apr 20, 2026 4:16 AM
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$101 (22.2%)	$453 · 2	$553 · 1	$0	Dec 31, 2025 8:59 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	79.9¢ / 100.0¢	$84 (23.5%)	$358 · 1	$442 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:01 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$81.4 (14.7%)	$553 · 1	$635 · 6	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$47.8 (7.5%)	$635 · 1	$682 · 2	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:07 PM
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$40.3 (6.4%)	$631 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 7, 2026 7:15 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$35.8 (1.5%)	$2.35K · 2	$2.39K · 2	$0	Apr 29, 2026 9:30 PM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? WonNoPolitics	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$30.2 (1.9%)	$1.58K · 2	$1.61K · 2	$0	Apr 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? WonNoFinance	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$21.3 (2.0%)	$1.06K · 5	$1.08K · 3	$0	May 1, 2026 2:22 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? WonNoFinance	98.6¢ / 100.0¢	$17.8 (1.0%)	$1.8K · 2	$1.82K · 2	$0	May 1, 2026 2:15 AM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? WonNoPolitics	96.4¢ / 100.0¢	$17.1 (2.8%)	$607 · 2	$624 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 7:14 AM
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians WonHouston AstrosSports	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$15.1 (2.0%)	$742 · 2	$757 · 1	$0	Apr 21, 2026 2:35 AM
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays WonCincinnati RedsSports	97.9¢ / 100.0¢	$13.4 (1.9%)	$715 · 1	$729 · 4	$0	Apr 21, 2026 2:43 AM
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? WonNoPolitics	98.5¢ / 99.9¢	$12.7 (1.2%)	$1.02K · 1	$1.04K · 2	$0	Jul 30, 2026 3:24 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 21? WonNoCrypto	94.1¢ / 100.0¢	$11.8 (6.3%)	$188 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 24, 2026 2:07 PM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? WonNoFinance	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$9.42 (0.9%)	$1.09K · 1	$1.1K · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 7:14 AM
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-19? WonYesSports	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.17 (0.8%)	$1.05K · 1	$1.06K · 4	$0	Apr 20, 2026 5:55 AM
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	98.5¢ / 100.0¢	$7.82 (0.4%)	$1.92K · 1	$1.93K · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:05 AM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? WonYesTech	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.86 (1.8%)	$380 · 1	$387 · 1	$0	Mar 31, 2026 8:24 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April? WonNoFinance	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.8 (0.7%)	$1.04K · 2	$210 · 1	$0	May 2, 2026 11:27 AM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? WonNoFinance	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$4.19 (0.4%)	$1.1K · 1	$1.1K · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? WonNoCrypto	97.7¢ / 100.0¢	$3.97 (0.2%)	$1.67K · 5	$1.68K · 12	$0	May 1, 2026 7:23 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May? WonNoCrypto	99.6¢ / 100.0¢	$3.3 (0.2%)	$1.92K · 1	$1.92K · 92	$0	Jun 1, 2026 11:58 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$2.82 (0.8%)	$349 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 12:13 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on March 9? WonNoCrypto	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.65 (0.9%)	$305 · 2	$308 · 1	$0	Mar 10, 2026 6:20 AM

marsion Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$3.23

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.23

Open$183

High$187

Low$183

Close$186

Open positions1

USD balance$0

2$0.09

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.09

Open$186

High$187

Low$186

Close$187

Open positions1

USD balance$0

3-$2.73

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.73

Open$187

High$188

Low$176

Close$184

Open positions2

USD balance$0.17

4$1

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$184

High$190

Low$170

Close$185

Open positions1

USD balance$87.2

5$11.4

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$11.4

Open$185

High$197

Low$183

Close$196

Open positions1

USD balance$87.2

6-$1.04

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.04

Open$196

High$198

Low$184

Close$195

Open positions1

USD balance$87.2

7-$1.04

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.04

Open$195

High$198

Low$182

Close$194

Open positions1

USD balance$87.2

8$2.44

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.44

Open$194

High$198

Low$182

Close$197

Open positions2

USD balance$0.53

9-$0.78

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.78

Open$197

High$197

Low$193

Close$196

Open positions2

USD balance$0.53

10-$0.56

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.56

Open$196

High$198

Low$194

Close$195

Open positions2

USD balance$0.53

11$1.59

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.59

Open$195

High$198

Low$195

Close$197

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12-$0.28

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.28

Open$197

High$199

Low$195

Close$197

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13$0.17

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.17

Open$197

High$198

Low$190

Close$197

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14$1.25

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.25

Open$197

High$200

Low$188

Close$198

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15-$1.45

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.45

Open$198

High$200

Low$197

Close$197

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16$3.43

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.43

Open$197

High$200

Low$197

Close$200

Open positions1

USD balance$1.04K

17-$1.46

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.46

Open$200

High$200

Low$198

Close$198

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18$0.6

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.6

Open$198

High$200

Low$195

Close$199

Open positions3

USD balance$0.17

19-$0.72

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.72

Open$199

High$200

Low$186

Close$198

Open positions3

USD balance$0.17

20$2.11

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.11

Open$198

High$203

Low$196

Close$200

Open positions3

USD balance$0.17

21$0.51

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.51

Open$200

High$205

Low$199

Close$201

Open positions3

USD balance$0

22$0.19

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.19

Open$201

High$203

Low$199

Close$201

Open positions3

USD balance$0

23-$8.7

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$8.7

Open$201

High$201

Low$189

Close$192

Open positions2

USD balance$114

24$7.42

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.42

Open$192

High$202

Low$192

Close$200

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25$1.72

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.72

Open$200

High$205

Low$198

Close$202

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26$4.01

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.01

Open$202

High$206

Low$200

Close$206

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27-$4.43

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.43

Open$206

High$206

Low$198

Close$201

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28$1.52

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.52

Open$201

High$209

Low$201

Close$203

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29$6.27

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.27

Open$203

High$213

Low$201

Close$209

Open positions2

USD balance$0

30$0.62

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.62

Open$209

High$213

Low$196

Close$210

Open positions2

USD balance$0

31$2.41

Jul 31, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.41

Open$210

High$212

Low$205

Close$212

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.027D $14.930D $25.5

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

89.5%

Profit Factor

1.31x

Avg Win

$15.2

Avg Loss

-$98.5

Total Wins

$775

Total Losses

-$591

Avg. Hold Time

12d 15h 22m 34s

Best Win

$161

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Worst Loss

-$402

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Period

Best Period

$220, Apr 18 – Apr 24

Worst Period

-$488, Dec 22 – Dec 28

Longest Streak

18d W / 4d L

Current Streak

4d W

Max Drawdown

-$492 (-339.0%)

Current DD

$0 (0.0%)

Max Runup

$559 (161.1%)

Rebates

$11.3(2)

Rewards

$1.59(1)

Yield

marsion

Analytics

Analytics

marsion

marsion

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

marsion

Trader DNA

Trader DNA