Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
ResolvedVolume
$12M
Txns
42,047
Traders
5,509
Fees
$0
Ends
—
Volume
$12M
Txns
42,047
Traders
5,509
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's token is greater than $4,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Trades
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
No 81%$142Kvolume
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No 85%$1.58Mvolume
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No 71%$7.93Kvolume
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
No 92%$24.4Kvolume
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?
Yes 93%$2.52Kvolume
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | rychupejasoluwka | No / 99.9¢ | -7.24 | $7.23 | |
| 5mo | Pycckue-Ha-Mecme | Yes / 0.1¢ | -7.24 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | B303B | No / 99.9¢ | -2.50 | $2.5 | |
| 5mo | Pycckue-Ha-Mecme | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2.50 | $0 | |
| 5mo | Pycckue-Ha-Mecme | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.25 | $0 | |
| 5mo | dfefef45r3434ffe | No / 99.9¢ | -1.25 | $1.25 | |
| 5mo | Pycckue-Ha-Mecme | Yes / 0.1¢ | -108.70 | $0.11 | |
| 5mo | nikitabase | No / 99.9¢ | -108.70 | $109 | |
| 5mo | Pycckue-Ha-Mecme | Yes / 0.1¢ | -288.77 | $0.29 | |
| 5mo | lyshx | No / 99.9¢ | -288.77 | $288 | |
| 5mo | S32 | No / 99.9¢ | -150.36 | $150 | |
| 5mo | Pycckue-Ha-Mecme | Yes / 0.1¢ | -150.36 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | nijntje1 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,597.02 | $1.6K | |
| 5mo | Pycckue-Ha-Mecme | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,597.02 | $1.6 | |
| 5mo | DanBolla33 | No / 99.9¢ | -16.80 | $16.8 | |
| 5mo | Pycckue-Ha-Mecme | Yes / 0.1¢ | -16.80 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Pycckue-Ha-Mecme | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 5mo | jporo | No / 99.9¢ | -10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 5mo | newitt | No / 99.9¢ | -145.82 | $146 | |
| 5mo | Pycckue-Ha-Mecme | Yes / 0.1¢ | -145.82 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | Nikoliora | No / 99.9¢ | +102.49 | $102 | |
| 5mo | newitt | No / 99.9¢ | -102.49 | $102 | |
| 5mo | newitt | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 5mo | HE110W0R1D | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Nikoliora | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 |
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