| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 5.90 net shares | 61.0¢ / 82.0¢ | $0.62 (34.4%) | May 27, 2026 10:41 PM | |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No 0.02 net shares | 59.0¢ / 93.0¢ | $0 (57.7%) | May 27, 2026 10:39 PM | |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -0.08 net shares | 45.4¢ / 23.0¢ | -$0 (-49.4%) | May 27, 2026 10:38 PM | |
 December 31 Yes 16.39 net shares | 62.0¢ / 80.0¢ | $1.48 (29.1%) | May 9, 2026 11:04 PM | |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? Yes 56.59 net shares | 77.8¢ / 86.1¢ | $2.36 (10.7%) | Apr 24, 2026 11:01 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -7.30 net shares | 30.3¢ / 11.9¢ | -$0 (-60.6%) | Apr 24, 2026 9:00 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6.40 net shares | 62.5¢ / 18.0¢ | -$0 (-71.2%) | Apr 24, 2026 9:00 PM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 0.00 net shares | 64.0¢ / 99.5¢ | $0 (55.5%) | Mar 20, 2026 5:10 PM | |
 Gavin Newsom Yes 0.01 net shares | 25.4¢ / 23.1¢ | -$0 (-9.1%) | Mar 20, 2026 5:10 PM | |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes 0.00 net shares | 7.0¢ / 7.8¢ | $0 (11.4%) | Mar 20, 2026 5:08 PM | |
 Péter Magyar Yes 0.01 net shares | 57.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (75.3%) | Mar 20, 2026 5:08 PM | |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? Yes 0.00 net shares | 34.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (194.1%) | Mar 20, 2026 5:08 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No 0.01 net shares | 58.0¢ / 1.0¢ | -$0 (-98.3%) | Mar 20, 2026 5:07 PM | |
 No change Yes 0.01 net shares | 60.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (66.7%) | Jan 3, 2026 6:17 PM | |
25 bps decrease Yes 0.01 net shares | 30.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Jan 3, 2026 6:17 PM | |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes 0.00 net shares | 15.0¢ / 13.0¢ | -$0 (-13.3%) | Aug 12, 2025 6:30 PM |
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