
Volume
$9M
Txns
14,021
Traders
1,802
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conducts a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government, however an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Trades
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 82%$0volume
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 29?
No 100%$0volume
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 29?
Yes 100%$0volume
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
Yes 97%$0volume
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 29?
No 100%$0volume
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meetin…
Yes 91%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.06 | $15 | |
| 6mo | axiol | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15.06 | $15 | |
| 6mo | 0x9889634AdE9046c5f3A86F820e769583fc3E4839-1767017398693 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 6mo | HakarisDomain | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +600.00 | $599 | |
| 6mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | -600.00 | $599 | |
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 6mo | MrGreen. | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 6mo | 0x8e94529A7bfD8A00CA8a4e05Aa5B5cFEc37DBA10-1764843022975 | No / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 6mo | tobib02 | No / 0.1¢ | +57,700.00 | $57.7 | |
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +57,700.00 | $57.6K | |
| 6mo | axiol | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15.06 | $15 | |
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.06 | $15 | |
| 6mo | takemymoney | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7,337.13 | $7.33K | |
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7,337.13 | $7.33K | |
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 6mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 6mo | lterm | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,990.00 | $5.98K | |
| 6mo | magent | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 6mo | FEDchair | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,460.00 | $3.46K |
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