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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? NoPolitics 42.86 shares | 95.6¢ / 99.2¢ | $1.56 (3.8%) | $40.8 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:28 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 40.57 shares | 86.7¢ / 99.6¢ | $5.23 (14.9%) | $35 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:27 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 10.75 shares | 93.5¢ / 98.7¢ | $0.56 (5.6%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:26 AM | |
![]() Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elect… YesPolitics 17.86 shares | 85.0¢ / 84.1¢ | -$0.16 (-1.1%) | $15 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:25 AM | |
![]() Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamen… YesPolitics 20.81 shares | 96.6¢ / 96.7¢ | $0.02 (0.1%) | $20 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:12 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? NoPolitics 34.48 shares | 87.4¢ / 90.0¢ | $0.88 (2.9%) | $30 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:34 AM | |
![]() Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? YesPolitics 15.51 shares | 97.2¢ / 95.1¢ | -$0.32 (-2.1%) | $15 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:33 AM | |
![]() 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House YesPolitics 20.94 shares | 50.0¢ / 44.0¢ | -$1.26 (-12.0%) | $10.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:58 AM | |
![]() 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House NoPolitics 11.67 shares | 86.5¢ / 86.0¢ | -$0.06 (-0.6%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:14 PM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 74.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $23.8 (19.7%) | $121 · 2 | $62.4 · 1 | $0 | Feb 3, 2026 9:16 AM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 67.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $14.9 (46.4%) | $32 · 1 | $46.9 · 1 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:36 AM | |
63.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $11.3 (57.0%) | $19.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 1, 2026 10:54 AM | ||
![]() Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 92.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.5 (8.1%) | $130 · 3 | $141 · 1 | $0 | Apr 3, 2026 10:10 AM | |
49.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.4 (104.1%) | $9.95 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 1, 2026 10:55 AM | ||
83.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $9.98 (20.4%) | $49 · 1 | $58.9 · 1 | $0 | Jan 18, 2026 8:22 AM | ||
![]() S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? WonDownFinance | 74.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $9.45 (35.0%) | $27 · 1 | $36.4 · 1 | $0 | Mar 3, 2026 1:40 AM | |
73.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.36 (37.0%) | $19.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 13, 2026 11:03 AM | ||
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? WonNoPolitics | 58.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.12 (71.5%) | $9.95 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 1, 2026 10:55 AM | |
![]() Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 60.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.93 (21.7%) | $32 · 1 | $38.9 · 1 | $0 | Mar 14, 2026 12:35 AM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by May 24? WonYesPolitics | 30.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $6.74 (219.8%) | $3 · 1 | $9.8 · 1 | $0 | May 27, 2026 3:32 AM | |
![]() Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? WonYesPolitics | 19.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $6.53 (10.5%) | $62 · 1 | $68.5 · 2 | $0 | Feb 1, 2026 7:28 AM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 77.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.94 (29.9%) | $19.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 23, 2026 7:42 AM | |
84.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.56 (18.5%) | $30 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 7:35 AM | ||
80.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.97 (25.0%) | $19.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 22, 2026 7:21 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 88.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.97 (13.6%) | $36.3 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 9:21 PM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 96.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.94 (4.0%) | $124 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Feb 21, 2026 10:31 AM | |
67.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.9 (49.3%) | $9.95 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 12, 2026 3:14 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 91.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.5 (8.9%) | $50.5 · 2 | $0 | $0 | May 27, 2026 8:40 AM | |
![]() Nothing Ever Happens: May WonNothingPolitics | 77.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.46 (29.9%) | $14.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 3, 2026 7:32 AM | |
92.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.15 (8.6%) | $47.9 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 9:20 PM | ||
![]() Iran strike on US military by January 31? WonNoPolitics | 90.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.89 (11.1%) | $35 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Feb 1, 2026 12:19 PM | |
93.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.68 (6.8%) | $54 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 17, 2026 10:26 PM | ||
89.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.59 (12.0%) | $29.8 · 2 | $0 | $0 | May 23, 2026 6:19 AM | ||
87.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.55 (14.8%) | $24 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 31, 2026 9:08 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
120
Won
102
Lost
9
Win Rate
91.9%
Profit Factor
1.85x
Avg Win
$2.72
Avg Loss
-$16.7
Total Wins
$278
Total Losses
-$150
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield